Chad — Military Capability Assessment

The 41.95/100 rests first on Mobilization (85.00), Readiness & training (85.00), Logistics (85.00). The binding constraints: Air power (8.00), Submarine force (8.00), Nuclear survivability (6.50) — in a causal model, capability can never rise above its weakest observed link. What would move the needle: Air power (8.00) — the weak link in the spending → equipment → readiness → capability chain.

• Alliance architecture adds a +5.78 bonus.
• Nuclear deterrence contributes a capped +0.85 bonus — it cannot manufacture top-tier conventional standing on its own.
• Extreme defense burden applies an economic-strain penalty of −4.00.

10 of 24 dimensions could not be observed (Equipment quality, ISR & intelligence, Missile forces, Air defense, Cyber & space, Strategic lift…); missing data caps the score — it never inflates it.

The six sub-scores

All 24 causal dimensions

Assessment coverage: 60.9% — 14 of 24 dimensions observed. Military assessment, run 2026-10-04; evidence snapshot: CIA World Factbook 2026-09-28, SIPRI arms-producer revenue, nuclear taxonomy.

Kernel assessment: Air power 8.00/100 (observed).

Recent acquisitions & orders (dated, sourced)

• Anka-S UAVs — 2 (delivered 2023)
  Military Africa / globalupfront (SIPRI data), 2025-2026 source
• Aksungur UAV — 1+ (delivered 2024)
  Military Africa, Sep 2025 source
• NMS Yoruk + Ejder Yalcin armoured vehicles; Hurkus-C trainer/combat aircraft; Tygra, 18 MCAV-20, 60 Terrier LT-79 APCs — 70 NMS; 4 AH-4 155mm guns; dozens of others (delivered (SIPRI transfer data))
  globalupfront.com, Sep 2026 source
• LRO surveillance drones (Milton) + DCI capacity-building for MNJTF — 14 (Chad + Mauritania share) (delivered 2025 with operator training)
  Military Africa, Dec 2025 source

Type-by-type inventory in preparation — this dossier deepens as coverage grows. Nothing here is estimated silently.

Kernel assessment: Land warfare 76.00/100 (observed).

Recent acquisitions & orders (dated, sourced)

• Type 59G main battle tanks — 30 (delivered 2024 (augmenting T-55s))
  Military Africa, Sep 2025 source
• WMA-301 tank destroyers (105mm, 6x6) — dozens (in service)
  Military Africa, Sep 2025 source
• NMS Yoruk + Ejder Yalcin armoured vehicles; Hurkus-C trainer/combat aircraft; Tygra, 18 MCAV-20, 60 Terrier LT-79 APCs — 70 NMS; 4 AH-4 155mm guns; dozens of others (delivered (SIPRI transfer data))
  globalupfront.com, Sep 2026 source
• 28 David armoured vehicles + 10 trucks + other equipment (G5 Sahel support) — 38+ (delivered)
  Military Africa (Land category page) source

Type-by-type inventory in preparation — this dossier deepens as coverage grows. Nothing here is estimated silently.

Kernel assessment: Naval power 12.80/100 (observed).

Type-by-type inventory in preparation — this dossier deepens as coverage grows. Nothing here is estimated silently.

Missile forces could not be observed in this assessment — missing data caps the score, it is never treated as zero.

Type-by-type inventory in preparation — this dossier deepens as coverage grows. Nothing here is estimated silently.

Status: Non-nuclear-weapon state; party to the NPT

Chadian National Army (Armee Nationale du Tchad, ANT): Ground Forces (l'Armee de Terre, AdT), Chadian Air Force (l'Armee de l'Air Tchadienne, AAT), Chadian National Gendarmerie; General Direction of the Security Services of State Institutions (Direction Generale des Services de Securite des Institutions de l'Etat, GDSSIE) Ministry of Public Security and Immigration: National Nomadic Guard of Chad (GNNT) (2025)

estimated 35-40,000 active Chadian National Army personnel (2025)

the ANT has a mix of older, secondhand, and some more modern armaments from a variety of suppliers, including Brazil, China, France, Russia/former Soviet Union, Türkiye, Ukraine, and the UAE (2025)

18-25 for voluntary service; men subject to 18-36 months of compulsory service at age 20; women are subject to 12 months of compulsory military or civic service at age 21 (2025)

note: Chad has committed approximately 1,000-1,500 troops to the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) against Boko Haram and other terrorist groups operating in the general area of the Lake Chad Basin and along Nigeria's northeast border; national MNJTF troop contingents are deployed within their own territories, although cross‐border operations are conducted periodically

internal security is the primary focus of the Chadian National Army, and it is actively engaged in counterinsurgency operations against multiple terrorist and rebel groups; the terrorist groups Boko Haram and Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham in West Africa operate in the Lake Chad Basin area; meanwhile, a number of anti-government militias operate in northern Chad, some from bases in southern Libya, including the FACT (Front pour le Changement et la Concorde au Tchad), the Military Command Council for the Salvation of the Republic (le Conseil de Commandement Militaire pour le salut de la République or CCSMR), the Union of Forces for Democracy and Development (le Union des Forces pour la Démocratie et le Développement or UFDD), and the Union of Resistance Forces (le Union des Forces de la Résistance UFR); former Chadian President Idriss DEBY was killed in April 2021 during fighting between the FACT and government forces (2025)