| #1 | United StatesWhy this rankingStrengths - a global power — still the single heaviest weight in the world, now weighed against a rival that refuses to be weighed down
- the deepest intelligence apparatus on earth — it knows things before they happen; its rivals are learning the same trick
- independent launch plus a full orbital constellation — the high ground is literal now, and a piece of it is no longer held alone
- At $214 billion in tourism receipts, the country's beauty has a balance sheet.
- FDI inflows of $279 billion: strangers trust this economy with their factories, which is the hardest trust to earn.
- Megaprojects pipeline of $1.2 trillion — cranes on the horizon are the most honest economic forecast there is.
- population 338.02 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- infant mortality 5 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 80 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- world-class universities: 110 — empires are remembered for their libraries, not their barracks
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- ranked 3 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- 93.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- stockpiles: deep strategic reserves — food and fuel banked for a crisis — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - domestic political fracture — the republic argues with itself louder than any rival argues with it; allies cannot plan on a capital that changes its mind every four years
- alliance strain — every tariff threat teaches a partner to build a second option; the allies hedge now
- hard power flat — treading water — the plates are moving, and this capital stands on the sinking one
- imperial overextension — hundreds of foreign bases, two oceans of commitments: the bill for primacy arrives in every budget
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 114.8% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- the weaponized dollar — every sanctions package teaches the world to invoice around it; dedollarization is slow until it isn't
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- median age 39 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- a statehood history of 250 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the infrastructure deficit — the megaprojects pipeline is real, but the bridges it must cross were built for another century
| Donald J. Trump President PWR 69 | 89.85 / 100 | 75.8 | 93.2 | 41.9 | 71.8 | 71.1 | 96.3 | 76.7 | 75.4 | 44.1 |
| #2 | ChinaWhy this rankingStrengths - a global power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- a top-tier cyber power — the battlefield where wars start before anyone declares them
- anchor of the BRICS — when the Global South wanted a second table, Beijing built the chairs
- the Belt and Road network — ports, rails, and cables across five continents: infrastructure as foreign policy
- no draining foreign wars — while rivals bled treasuries into deserts, Beijing banked ports
- A sovereign fund of $3.5 trillion: savings that work while the country sleeps.
- A reserves cushion of 12 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- Economic diversification of 22 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- population 1407.18 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- critical-mineral endowment: rare earths — ~44Mt of reserves and ~70% of world refining — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
- ranked 11 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
What drags it down - 5.9% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- 2 bloc memberships — diplomatically homeless in a world that negotiates in clubs
- Tourism receipts of $35 billion — a country the world flies over, not to.
- At $23,800 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $23,800 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- urbanization 64.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- central-bank age of 78 years — young money, young credibility: markets price what the bank has not yet survived
- rule of law at 45 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- control of corruption at 48 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- export structure: a one-commodity economy — fuel is the budget — prosperity with a single point of failure
- power-sector carbon intensity 559 gCO2/kWh — a grid this dirty makes every plugged-in device a small smokestack
| Xi Jinping President PWR 72 | 87.07 / 100 | 79.8 | 75.1 | 70.0 | 68.4 | 67.5 | 50.5 | 83.3 | 63.2 | 53.6 |
| #3 | FranceWhy this rankingStrengths - a permanent UNSC seat — with the veto — the veto: the right to say no to the entire planet, on paper, in public
- NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- a nuclear arsenal — membership in the one club nobody joins by invitation, where admission ends every argument
- At 2.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $54,500 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $54,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.9 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- jurisdictions under its legal model: 80 — law is the longest-lived export any civilization produces
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- 94.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- carbon intensity of 44 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- ranked 12 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
What drags it down - arms exports of just 9.6% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- command of 0 strategic chokepoints — geography gave it nothing to bargain with
- hard power falling — the tectonic plates move against it — the plates are moving, and this capital stands on the sinking one
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Public debt of 98.5% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- world-class universities: 25 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- renewables at 24.4% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Emmanuel Macron President PWR 43 | 82.73 / 100 | 67.3 | 67.7 | 12.5 | 72.7 | 71.0 | 63.2 | 60.0 | 76.8 | 43.4 |
| #4 | United KingdomWhy this rankingStrengths - a Five-Eyes-class global intelligence apparatus — it knows things before they happen, which is the whole game
- a permanent UNSC seat — with the veto — the veto: the right to say no to the entire planet, on paper, in public
- NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- With 17 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- At $52,500 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $52,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- fertility 1.64 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 1,099 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- 96.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- global innovation rank 5 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - arms exports of just 3.6% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- 2 bloc memberships — diplomatically homeless in a world that negotiates in clubs
- hard power flat — treading water — the plates are moving, and this capital stands on the sinking one
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 138.6% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- population growth 0.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- median age 40 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 35 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Andy Burnham Prime Minister PWR 45 | 82.69 / 100 | 67.5 | 68.9 | 39.5 | 71.0 | 68.4 | 64.7 | 58.3 | 75.9 | 45.5 |
| #5 | RussiaWhy this rankingStrengths - a top-tier cyber power — the battlefield where wars start before anyone declares them
- a permanent UNSC seat — with the veto — the veto: the right to say no to the entire planet, on paper, in public
- a nuclear arsenal — the ultimate veto, written in warheads instead of words
- A reserves cushion of 18 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- With 15 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Public debt of 18.5% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- population 140.13 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- civilizational continuity: a deep civilizational inheritance — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- gas reserves of 38 trillion cubic meters — the fuel that heats rivals' homes and cools their tempers
- internet penetration at 92.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - at war — a state at war judges itself on survival first, and everything else is a footnote
- under multilateral sanctions — its economy negotiates with one hand tied by the world's rulebook
- 7.8% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- At 6.7%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- Growth trend of 2.7% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- $133 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 42 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- control of corruption at 15 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 18 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 1.1% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- only 18.1% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Vladimir Putin President PWR 32 | 82.57 / 100 | 69.2 | 62.2 | 68.3 | 62.4 | 63.8 | 56.4 | 50.0 | 49.3 | 57.2 |
| #6 | IndiaWhy this rankingStrengths - a nuclear arsenal — the ultimate veto, written in warheads instead of words
- 5500 peacekeepers contributed — it puts its own soldiers between other people's wars and peace
- active military personnel 1.46 million — a standing army with mass, not just uniforms on a roster
- Megaprojects pipeline of $1.4 trillion — cranes on the horizon are the most honest economic forecast there is.
- A growth trend of 7.0%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- GDP at purchasing power of $14.2 trillion — what the money actually buys on the ground, and it buys a great deal.
- population 1419.32 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- fertility 2 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 30 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- strategic reserves: deep strategic reserves — food and fuel banked for a crisis — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
- global innovation rank 39 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no collective-defense treaty — when the shooting starts, this capital stands alone by treaty
- command of 1 strategic chokepoints — geography gave it nothing to bargain with
- $6 billion — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Foreign direct investment of $28 billion — the world is putting its money everywhere except here.
- Prosperity per person of $9,800 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- urbanization 36.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- jurisdictions running on its legal model: 5 — its rules govern no one beyond its own borders
- universities ranked among the world's best: 8 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- central-bank age of 91 years — young money, young credibility: markets price what the bank has not yet survived
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 0.7% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- power-sector carbon intensity 708 gCO2/kWh — a grid this dirty makes every plugged-in device a small smokestack
| Narendra Modi Prime Minister PWR 71 | 77.59 / 100 | 77.4 | 60.5 | 31.8 | 56.2 | 65.3 | 44.2 | 61.7 | 60.2 | 71.7 |
| #7 | JapanWhy this rankingStrengths - 247 diplomatic missions abroad — an embassy is a listening post with a flag, and this one has many
- a great power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- FX reserves covering 15 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Inflation of 2.7% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At 2.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- life expectancy 85 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- urbanization 92.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- government-effectiveness percentile of 94 — a bureaucracy that works is an empire's quietest weapon
- ranked 13 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- 87.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- stockpiles: deep strategic reserves — food and fuel banked for a crisis — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- hard power falling — the tectonic plates move against it — the plates are moving, and this capital stands on the sinking one
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 0.6% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- At 215.9% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- median age 50 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- jurisdictions running on its legal model: 3 — its rules govern no one beyond its own borders
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 25 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- constitutional stability of 79 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 18.6% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Sanae Takaichi Prime Minister PWR 57 | 72.27 / 100 | 69.8 | 72.4 | 21.5 | 69.6 | 66.1 | 31.0 | 73.8 | 61.5 | 39.7 |
| #8 | IsraelWhy this rankingStrengths - a nuclear arsenal — membership in the one club nobody joins by invitation, where admission ends every argument
- a top-tier cyber power — the battlefield where wars start before anyone declares them
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- FX reserves covering 18 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Economic diversification of 16 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- At $47,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- urbanization 92.9% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 83 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- R&D spending at 5.6% of GDP — money placed on the future's table, where it multiplies
- ranked 15 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- 87.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
What drags it down - arms exports of just 3.1% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- at war — every other ambition waits while the guns decide the schedule
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Growth trend of 1.9% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- At $472 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population growth 1.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 9.40 million — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- world-class universities: 6 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the current constitutional order is 78 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 13.2% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- a food base of 4 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Benjamin Netanyahu Prime Minister PWR 56 | 70.96 / 100 | 58.4 | 73.1 | 19.7 | 72.1 | 56.6 | 32.2 | 76.7 | 71.5 | 43.7 |
| #9 | South KoreaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.3% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Inflation of 2.3% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Labor productivity of $50,400 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $50,400 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 83 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- 4,300 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- internet penetration at 97.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- global innovation rank 6 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- 5.2% of GDP devoted to research — nations that fund discovery end up owning it
What drags it down - arms exports of just 2.2% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Economic diversification of 6 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- Tourism receipts of $15 billion — a country the world flies over, not to.
- Growth trend of 1.2% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 47 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- fertility 0.68 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 16 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- world-class universities: 14 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 6.5% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Lee Jae Myung President PWR 61 | 70.16 / 100 | 65.7 | 66.4 | 28.2 | 69.0 | 64.1 | 27.0 | 69.5 | 63.2 | 43.2 |
| #10 | GermanyWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.4% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- a great power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- At 2.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $62,800 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $62,800 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 81 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- population 84.01 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- corruption-control percentile of 94 — graft is the exception here, not the operating system
- 94.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- ranked 9 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- arms exports of just 5.6% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 0.2% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 46 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- jurisdictions under its legal model: 40 — the world admires many things here, but its laws are not among them
- a central bank only 150 years old — money here is still learning to trust the people who print it
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Friedrich Merz Chancellor PWR 50 | 68.88 / 100 | 68.6 | 65.0 | 12.5 | 70.5 | 71.0 | 23.2 | 65.8 | 67.2 | 41.9 |
| #11 | IndonesiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- 2700 peacekeepers contributed — it puts its own soldiers between other people's wars and peace
- With 16 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Sovereign wealth fund of $900 billion — the nation owns a slice of the future and collects rent on it.
- Unemployment of 3.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.93 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- population 283.59 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
- critical-mineral endowment: nickel — the world's largest reserves and top producer — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- At $22 billion in FDI, global capital has looked at the offer and walked away.
- FX reserves covering 6 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Prosperity per person of $14,500 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- urbanization 58.6% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 18 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 10 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- control of corruption at 45 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule-of-law percentile of 52 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 7.4% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- just 19.3% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Prabowo Subianto President PWR 55 | 68.72 / 100 | 70.8 | 60.4 | 54.7 | 55.8 | 50.9 | 19.2 | 64.0 | 48.4 | 60.2 |
| #12 | BrazilWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a US mutual-defense treaty — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- FX reserves covering 10 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- GDP at purchasing power of $4.2 trillion — what the money actually buys on the ground, and it buys a great deal.
- A megaproject pipeline of $350 billion: the country is literally building its next decade.
- population 221.36 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- urbanization 87.8% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- fertility 1.73 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 204 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- renewable electricity at 80.2% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- low-carbon electricity at 89.8% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- carbon intensity of 103 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - 0.3% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Public debt of 83.0% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- At 2.8% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- infant mortality 12 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- universities ranked among the world's best: 5 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- a central bank only 62 years old — money here is still learning to trust the people who print it
- a statehood history of 204 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- proved gas reserves of 1 trillion cubic meters — nothing to burn but ambition, and ambition heats no homes
- just 1.2% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva President PWR 58 | 68.13 / 100 | 70.5 | 44.0 | 37.9 | 63.0 | 58.8 | 21.8 | 64.5 | 62.7 | 42.7 |
| #13 | TurkeyWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.3% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Labor productivity of $35,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $35,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 33.1% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- fertility 1.88 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 34 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- population 84.63 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- 87.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- global innovation rank 37 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - 1.7% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- At 58.5%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- At 5 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- At 8.5%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- population growth 0.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- infant mortality 17 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- universities ranked among the world's best: 5 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 21 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- corruption-control percentile of 42 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 1.4% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan President PWR 41 | 67.17 / 100 | 66.6 | 47.1 | 53.8 | 59.9 | 51.6 | 37.6 | 44.2 | 65.4 | 54.6 |
| #14 | SpainWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At 2.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $48,400 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $48,400 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 83 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 534 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- internet penetration at 95.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- carbon intensity of 146 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- global innovation rank 28 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - 3.0% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Unemployment of 11.4% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- median age 47 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- jurisdictions running on its legal model: 20 — its rules govern no one beyond its own borders
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- world-class universities: 14 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 1.5% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Pedro Sánchez Prime Minister PWR 49 | 67.03 / 100 | 65.3 | 48.5 | 33.7 | 67.0 | 65.5 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 67.1 | 62.5 |
| #15 | CanadaWhy this rankingStrengths - a Five-Eyes-class global intelligence apparatus — it knows things before they happen, which is the whole game
- NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- At 2.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $56,700 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $56,700 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 84 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- corruption-control percentile of 94 — graft is the exception here, not the operating system
- internet penetration at 94.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- proved oil reserves of 170 billion barrels — energy weight you cannot sanction away, only negotiate around
- global innovation rank 17 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - arms exports of just 0.6% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 7 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 159 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 22 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- export structure: a one-commodity economy — fuel is the budget — prosperity with a single point of failure
- rent capture: rents leak — no fund, no cushion — geology pays, but nothing stays
| Mark Carney Prime Minister PWR 59 | 66.85 / 100 | 65.1 | 59.2 | 52.0 | 70.4 | 60.3 | 22.6 | 55.0 | 72.0 | 42.5 |
| #16 | Saudi ArabiaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- FX reserves covering 17 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Megaprojects pipeline of $1.2 trillion — cranes on the horizon are the most honest economic forecast there is.
- At 1.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- median age 32 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.84 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- urbanization 85.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- 100.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- oil reserves of 267 billion barrels — the kind of geology that turns finance ministers into diplomats and diplomats into courtiers
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no collective-defense treaty — when the shooting starts, this capital stands alone by treaty
- At $26 billion, the postcards are lovely and the tills are empty.
- Growth trend of 3.2% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- With a nominal GDP of $1.2 trillion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 1.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 11 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- jurisdictions under its legal model: 5 — the world admires many things here, but its laws are not among them
- a statehood history of 94 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- universities ranked among the world's best: 4 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 2.2% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 2.2% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| — | 66.77 / 100 | 63.7 | 49.4 | 54.2 | 64.5 | 58.8 | 29.0 | 57.5 | 49.0 | 69.7 |
| #17 | AustraliaWhy this rankingStrengths - a Five-Eyes-class global intelligence apparatus — it knows things before they happen, which is the whole game
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Labor productivity of $60,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $60,100 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- Unemployment of 4.1% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- life expectancy 83 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- urbanization 86.6% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- control of corruption at 93 on the global percentile — the till is guarded, and everyone in power knows it
- 97.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - arms exports of just 0.5% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 4 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- Growth trend of 1.4% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 1.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- median age 38 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 125 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- central-bank age of 66 years — young money, young credibility: markets price what the bank has not yet survived
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 20 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- export structure: a one-commodity economy — fuel is the budget — prosperity with a single point of failure
- just 1.8% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
| Anthony Albanese Prime Minister PWR 67 | 66.61 / 100 | 63.4 | 55.8 | 39.5 | 69.4 | 60.2 | 36.0 | 58.8 | 67.8 | 41.4 |
| #18 | ItalyWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At 1.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $53,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $53,100 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- life expectancy 83 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 60 — stone proof that history happened here first, not elsewhere
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- internet penetration at 87.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- ranked 26 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- arms exports of just 4.8% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 0.6% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- At 131.8% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- median age 48 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- urbanization 72.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- world-class universities: 15 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- a central bank only 133 years old — money here is still learning to trust the people who print it
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 1.5% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Giorgia Meloni Prime Minister PWR 52 | 66.45 / 100 | 66.5 | 54.4 | 21.5 | 64.8 | 62.2 | 34.0 | 51.2 | 76.0 | 44.9 |
| #19 | PakistanWhy this rankingStrengths - a nuclear arsenal — membership in the one club nobody joins by invitation, where admission ends every argument
- defense spending at 2.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Unemployment of 5.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A PPP GDP of $1.4 trillion: the real, street-level size of the economy once prices stop lying.
- Growth trend of 3.4% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- population 257.05 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 1.8% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- power-sector carbon intensity 398 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- no space capability — a country without a launchpad watches the space age from the ground floor
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- With a pipeline of $62 billion, ambition here is a press release, not a construction site.
- infant mortality 50 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 38.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- life expectancy 70 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- universities ranked among the world's best: 2 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- continuous statehood of just 79 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- control of corruption at 22 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 27.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Shehbaz Sharif Prime Minister PWR 50 | 65.92 / 100 | 68.3 | 60.0 | 12.5 | 46.3 | 58.6 | 22.6 | 57.5 | 56.5 | 38.9 |
| #20 | NetherlandsWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- Labor productivity of $70,900 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $70,900 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- Unemployment of 3.6% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- urbanization 93.2% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 81 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the current constitutional order has stood 445 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- 97.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- global innovation rank 8 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - arms exports of just 1.2% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Growth trend of 1.4% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.3% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- jurisdictions under its legal model: 10 — the world admires many things here, but its laws are not among them
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- universities ranked among the world's best: 12 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Rob Jetten Prime Minister PWR 50 | 65.56 / 100 | 61.5 | 50.3 | 12.5 | 72.8 | 62.5 | 33.3 | 66.8 | 60.4 | 45.0 |
| #21 | EgyptWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a US mutual-defense treaty — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- A megaproject pipeline of $250 billion: the country is literally building its next decade.
- A PPP GDP of $2.0 trillion: the real, street-level size of the economy once prices stop lying.
- Economic diversification of 10 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- fertility 2.53 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- population 112.87 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- internet penetration at 73.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- energy standing: roughly energy-balanced — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no space capability — it rents its eyes in the sky from whoever will sell the pictures
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 103.0% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- Inflation of 28.3% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- urbanization 43.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- jurisdictions under its legal model: 8 — the world admires many things here, but its laws are not among them
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 7 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- world-class universities: 3 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 11.6% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- renewables at 11.5% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Abdel Fattah el-Sisi President PWR 45 | 64.80 / 100 | 66.0 | 55.0 | 40.2 | 54.9 | 54.8 | 22.0 | 47.5 | 54.7 | 57.9 |
| #22 | VietnamWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.8% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Growth trend of 7.6% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Unemployment of 1.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- With 13 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- fertility 2.01 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 33 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- population 106.69 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- continuous statehood running 4,000 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- internet penetration at 78.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- global innovation rank 44 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- $5 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $476 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 39.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.9% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 8 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- control of corruption at 42 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule-of-law percentile of 48 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
| Tô Lâm President PWR 59 | 64.74 / 100 | 65.7 | 58.9 | 43.7 | 60.0 | 61.1 | 18.6 | 45.0 | 44.7 | 62.3 |
| #23 | MexicoWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a regional power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- At 2.8% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Inflation of 4.7% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- With 11 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.85 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- population 130.74 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 216 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- internet penetration at 81.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- ranked 56 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- the energy ledger reads roughly energy-balanced, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Growth trend of 1.0% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- life expectancy 74 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- world-class universities: 3 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- control of corruption at 32 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- government-effectiveness percentile of 42 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- R&D spending at 0.3% of GDP — the future is being invented elsewhere and imported at retail price
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Claudia Sheinbaum President PWR 66 | 63.83 / 100 | 68.6 | 44.5 | 20.5 | 55.8 | 55.9 | 18.0 | 52.5 | 50.0 | 48.4 |
| #24 | DenmarkWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 3.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Labor productivity of $73,700 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $73,700 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 1.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 82 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- urbanization 88.5% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the current constitutional order has stood 1,061 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- internet penetration at 100.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- ranked 10 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- 88.0% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no space capability — a country without a launchpad watches the space age from the ground floor
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 5 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At $441 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- world-class universities: 4 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Mette Frederiksen Prime Minister PWR 55 | 63.54 / 100 | 56.4 | 72.6 | 30.5 | 79.2 | 65.1 | 25.5 | 46.7 | 78.0 | 50.1 |
| #25 | QatarWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a US mutual-defense treaty — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- At $110,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $110,900 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- Unemployment of 0.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- urbanization 99.4% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- fertility 1.9 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 34 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 100.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- proved gas reserves of 24 trillion cubic meters — leverage measured in export contracts and winter deliveries
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- With a nominal GDP of $218 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $317 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 8 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- population growth 0.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- population 2.57 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- a statehood history of 55 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 55 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 0.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- low-carbon power at 0.2% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| — | 63.31 / 100 | 52.9 | 64.0 | 42.7 | 70.9 | 51.6 | 14.5 | 85.0 | 60.2 | 54.1 |
| #26 | IranWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- a serious second-tier cyber actor — it can reach into an adversary's grid without moving a single soldier
- Public debt of 39.5% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Sovereign wealth fund of $156 billion — the nation owns a slice of the future and collects rent on it.
- Economic diversification of 10 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- median age 35 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- population 89.18 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- the civilizational record reads one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- proved gas reserves of 34 trillion cubic meters — leverage measured in export contracts and winter deliveries
- oil reserves of 208 billion barrels — the kind of geology that turns finance ministers into diplomats and diplomats into courtiers
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - 0.4% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- At 32.5%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- Growth trend of 0.1% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- Unemployment of 9.2% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 77.3% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- corruption-control percentile of 18 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 22 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government effectiveness at 25 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 7.9% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- only 6.2% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Masoud Pezeshkian President PWR 30 | 63.00 / 100 | 65.5 | 42.8 | 70.7 | 57.2 | 56.0 | 17.0 | 48.3 | 41.5 | 49.5 |
| #27 | MalaysiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a regional power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- At 1.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $34,100 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $34,100 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- median age 32 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.73 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- government-effectiveness percentile of 72 — a bureaucracy that works is an empire's quietest weapon
- 98.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- FX reserves covering 4 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- $45 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Public debt of 64.3% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- population growth 1.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 78.7% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 5 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- world-class universities: 4 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the current constitutional order is 69 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- R&D spending at 1.0% of GDP — the future is being invented elsewhere and imported at retail price
- low-carbon power at 19.7% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Anwar Ibrahim Prime Minister PWR 64 | 62.93 / 100 | 62.2 | 46.9 | 40.9 | 59.7 | 50.7 | 18.6 | 61.2 | 51.3 | 57.3 |
| #28 | NorwayWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 3.4% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At $91,100 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $91,100 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- A sovereign fund of $2.1 trillion: savings that work while the country sleeps.
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- fertility 1.58 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- rule of law at 99 on the global percentile — the strong sign contracts here because they know the rules outlast the rulers
- internet penetration at 99.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- 98.4% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- 98.2% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
What drags it down - 0.8% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- At 1.6% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- FX reserves covering 6 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At $508 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population growth 0.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- median age 41 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- world-class universities: 3 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Jonas Gahr Støre Prime Minister PWR 54 | 62.79 / 100 | 56.5 | 23.4 | 25.0 | 79.8 | 66.6 | 29.3 | 65.0 | 76.5 | 42.6 |
| #29 | United Arab EmiratesWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 4.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- A sovereign fund of $1.9 trillion: savings that work while the country sleeps.
- At $68,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $68,600 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- urbanization 87.8% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 79 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- government-effectiveness percentile of 88 — a bureaucracy that works is an empire's quietest weapon
- 100.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
What drags it down - 0.3% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- At 5 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- At $31 billion in FDI, global capital has looked at the offer and walked away.
- With a nominal GDP of $537 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population 10.09 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 55 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- universities ranked among the world's best: 3 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- constitutional stability of 55 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 8.7% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- only 4 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| — | 62.53 / 100 | 58.6 | 39.5 | 54.8 | 72.4 | 52.8 | 23.0 | 55.8 | 53.7 | 54.9 |
| #30 | SwedenWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 2.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At $63,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $63,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 2.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 82 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- urbanization 88.7% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 503 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- low-carbon electricity at 98.7% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- global innovation rank 2 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- 96.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
What drags it down - 0.9% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Economic diversification of 5 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- median age 41 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- world-class universities: 8 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Ulf Kristersson Prime Minister PWR 42 | 62.36 / 100 | 58.8 | 55.1 | 30.5 | 75.9 | 65.1 | 20.6 | 47.5 | 74.2 | 41.6 |
| #31 | New ZealandWhy this rankingStrengths - a Five-Eyes-class global intelligence apparatus — the quietest power is the one that reads the other side's mail
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Inflation of 2.9% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Labor productivity of $48,200 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $48,200 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 82 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- fertility 1.84 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- control of corruption at 99 on the global percentile — the till is guarded, and everyone in power knows it
- internet penetration at 96.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- 85.1% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 120 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 3 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- Growth trend of 0.3% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.8% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population 5.16 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- world-class universities: 4 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- continuous statehood of just 119 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Christopher Luxon Prime Minister PWR 52 | 62.29 / 100 | 55.3 | 100.0 | 12.5 | 74.9 | 64.1 | 25.2 | 57.5 | 75.4 | 24.7 |
| #32 | SingaporeWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At $132,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $132,600 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 2.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- life expectancy 86 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- urbanization 100.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- government-effectiveness percentile of 100 — a bureaucracy that works is an empire's quietest weapon
- ranked 4 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
- 94.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- At 175.6% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- FX reserves covering 5 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- With a nominal GDP of $547 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.8% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population 6.08 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 61 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- constitutional stability of 61 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 2 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- just 4.9% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Lawrence Wong Prime Minister PWR 68 | 62.02 / 100 | 56.8 | 61.6 | 39.5 | 72.2 | 53.6 | 18.6 | 56.7 | 65.6 | 44.3 |
| #33 | KazakhstanWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- With 19 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Public debt of 20.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Growth trend of 5.7% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- median age 32 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- fertility 2.57 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- infant mortality 7 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- 93.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 8.8%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- With a nominal GDP of $288 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $739 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- urbanization 58.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- control of corruption at 35 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- power-sector carbon intensity 801 gCO2/kWh — a grid this dirty makes every plugged-in device a small smokestack
- low-carbon power at 14.9% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Kassym-Jomart Tokayev President PWR 50 | 61.21 / 100 | 59.8 | 50.0 | 43.5 | 55.2 | 56.4 | 8.0 | 66.7 | 47.1 | 65.4 |
| #34 | ArgentinaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a US mutual-defense treaty — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- At $26,500 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $26,500 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- A PPP GDP of $1.2 trillion: the real, street-level size of the economy once prices stop lying.
- urbanization 92.5% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- median age 34 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- infant mortality 7 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- constitutional stability of 210 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 89.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- critical-mineral endowment: lithium — the 'lithium triangle's eastern pillar — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
- carbon intensity of 358 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 73.1%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- At 4 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- population growth 0.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- fertility 1.43 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- world-class universities: 2 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- sovereign defaults on the record: 3 — a state that treats creditor trust as a renewable resource
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 12 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
- rent capture: rents leak — no fund, no cushion — geology pays, but nothing stays
| Javier Milei President PWR 66 | 60.99 / 100 | 63.7 | 62.0 | 38.7 | 55.3 | 53.8 | 18.6 | 45.8 | 54.5 | 36.5 |
| #35 | NigeriaWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a regional power — weight in the world that was earned, not assigned
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Economic diversification of 16 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- Public debt of 19.6% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Unemployment of 3.0% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- population 244.34 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.4% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the civilizational record reads a deep civilizational inheritance — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- proved oil reserves of 37 billion barrels — energy weight you cannot sanction away, only negotiate around
- the energy ledger reads roughly energy-balanced, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no collective-defense treaty — when the shooting starts, this capital stands alone by treaty
- $3 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 33.2%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- At $5,700 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- infant mortality 65 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- fertility 4.59 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- control of corruption at 15 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 18 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government-effectiveness percentile of 20 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 23.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Bola Tinubu President PWR 46 | 60.91 / 100 | 68.5 | – | 35.3 | 43.7 | 46.3 | 15.0 | 70.0 | 54.6 | 60.8 |
| #36 | MoroccoWhy this rankingStrengths - the OCP phosphate monopoly — ~70% of the world's reserves: whoever feeds the planet's fields holds a leash on the future of food
- co-host of the 2030 World Cup with Spain and Portugal — stadiums, rails, and airports arriving on schedule, a decade of proof before a ball is kicked
- Tanger Med — Africa's largest port and a top Mediterranean container hub: the Strait of Gibraltar now works for Morocco
- an automotive and aerospace export hub — Renault and Stellantis build here for the world, not for the neighborhood
- two decades of unbroken stability and growth — the country that reformed instead of burning
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a defense burden of 4.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 1.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- A growth trend of 3.9%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Economic diversification of 9 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- median age 30 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- internet penetration at 91.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - water stress — the drought years are getting longer: dam levels decide the harvest before the farmers do
- youth unemployment — a young population is an asset only when it has jobs; too many graduates are still waiting
- phosphate-price exposure — the monopoly is a leash in both directions: when fertilizer prices fall, the treasury feels it first
- the Moroccan Sahara dossier — the dispute that never closes: it is priced into every diplomatic room Morocco enters
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- 0 bloc memberships — diplomatically homeless in a world that negotiates in clubs
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $154 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At 6 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- infant mortality 17 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- corruption-control percentile of 45 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- just 26.5% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- urbanization 65.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
| Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri Head of Government PWR 41 | 60.86 / 100 | 60.9 | 49.3 | 57.9 | 51.6 | 55.9 | 21.2 | 38.8 | 55.4 | 67.2 |
| #37 | ThailandWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a US mutual-defense treaty — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- With 31 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Unemployment of 0.7% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 1.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- population 70.03 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 788 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- internet penetration at 90.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- ranked 41 for innovation — a system that produces breakthroughs rather than importing them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 2.5% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- At 61.1% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- urbanization 53.6% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 41 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 8 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- corruption-control percentile of 45 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule-of-law percentile of 55 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 8.1% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- low-carbon power at 14.9% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Anutin Charnvirakul Prime Minister PWR 45 | 60.70 / 100 | 64.9 | 45.6 | 21.5 | 59.5 | 63.0 | 10.3 | 42.5 | 59.1 | 47.3 |
| #38 | PolandWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Unemployment of 2.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Labor productivity of $45,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $45,100 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 38.75 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 86.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - 1.0% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 6 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At $29 billion in FDI, global capital has looked at the offer and walked away.
- urbanization 60.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 1.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 43 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- world-class universities: 2 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- carbon intensity of 614 gCO2/kWh — every kilowatt-hour carries a debt to the atmosphere
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Donald Tusk Prime Minister PWR 51 | 60.46 / 100 | 63.4 | 26.2 | 15.0 | 61.7 | 62.7 | 20.6 | 43.8 | 73.2 | 51.5 |
| #39 | AlgeriaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- A reserves cushion of 19 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At 27.5% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Inflation of 4.0% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- median age 29 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 77 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- 77.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- gas reserves of 5 trillion cubic meters — the fuel that heats rivals' homes and cools their tempers
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no collective-defense treaty — no one is legally bound to bleed for this country
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Unemployment of 11.5% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- At 7 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- infant mortality 18 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 1.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- control of corruption at 30 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 35 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government-effectiveness percentile of 35 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 0.7% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- just 0.7% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Abdelmadjid Tebboune President PWR 45 | 60.42 / 100 | 62.4 | – | 30.4 | 50.5 | 51.9 | 20.2 | 85.0 | 45.2 | 61.0 |
| #40 | BelgiumWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- Labor productivity of $63,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $63,100 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 3.1%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- urbanization 98.2% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 82 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 196 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- internet penetration at 95.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- power-sector carbon intensity 117 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
- low-carbon electricity at 77.8% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Growth trend of 1.0% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- world-class universities: 6 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- continuous statehood of just 196 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Bart De Wever Prime Minister PWR 47 | 60.00 / 100 | 59.3 | 45.0 | 12.5 | 70.5 | 61.4 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 63.2 | 39.3 |
| #41 | SwitzerlandWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- A reserves cushion of 18 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At $82,000 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $82,000 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 83 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.59 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 735 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- global innovation rank 1 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- low-carbon electricity at 97.7% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- internet penetration at 97.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - 0.4% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 1.3% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- At 9 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 44 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- jurisdictions running on its legal model: 10 — its rules govern no one beyond its own borders
- universities ranked among the world's best: 10 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- a statehood history of 735 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Guy Parmelin President of the Swiss Confederation PWR 49 | 59.95 / 100 | 59.0 | 51.3 | 12.5 | 75.6 | 72.4 | 9.3 | 51.8 | 36.6 | 31.8 |
| #42 | AustriaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 1.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- At $63,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $63,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 2.9%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the current constitutional order has stood 1,050 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- renewable electricity at 80.2% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- internet penetration at 95.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- low-carbon electricity at 86.7% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Growth trend of 0.9% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- urbanization 59.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.3% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 44 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- universities ranked among the world's best: 5 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Christian Stocker Chancellor PWR 45 | 59.77 / 100 | 58.2 | 55.6 | 15.0 | 69.8 | 70.5 | 9.3 | 55.0 | 43.1 | 43.0 |
| #43 | South AfricaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a regional power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- At 4.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Economic diversification of 10 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- Labor productivity of $13,600 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- fertility 2.23 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 30 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 116 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- critical minerals: platinum-group metals — ~75% of world reserves — the raw material of batteries and missiles alike, and others need it more than it needs them
- 76.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- global innovation rank 60 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
What drags it down - 0.3% of global arms exports — it buys its security from whoever will sell it
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Unemployment of 33.2% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 0.9% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- population growth 1.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 19 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 68.8% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- universities ranked among the world's best: 4 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- continuous statehood of just 116 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 12 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 0.8% of GDP for research — a country that won't pay for ideas will pay dearly for everyone else's
- carbon intensity of 708 gCO2/kWh — every kilowatt-hour carries a debt to the atmosphere
| Cyril Ramaphosa President PWR 44 | 59.70 / 100 | 64.0 | 38.9 | 53.7 | 46.9 | 57.1 | 21.2 | 46.2 | 53.5 | 47.5 |
| #44 | FinlandWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.8% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At 1.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $55,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $55,600 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- urbanization 85.8% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- control of corruption at 99 on the global percentile — the till is guarded, and everyone in power knows it
- low-carbon electricity at 94.5% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- global innovation rank 7 — among the countries writing the rules of what comes next
- internet penetration at 94.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Growth trend of 0.2% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- population growth 0.0% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 44 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- continuous statehood of just 109 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- world-class universities: 4 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Petteri Orpo Prime Minister PWR 51 | 59.32 / 100 | 55.8 | 73.7 | 12.5 | 73.5 | 58.9 | 21.6 | 47.5 | 76.1 | 27.2 |
| #45 | UkraineWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 4.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- active military personnel 900,000 — a standing army with mass, not just uniforms on a roster
- Labor productivity of $16,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $16,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- Public debt of 58.7% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- infant mortality 8 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- population 35.66 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- 1,100 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- 82.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- internet penetration at 82.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - arms exports of just 0.3% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- at war — every other ambition waits while the guns decide the schedule
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Unemployment of 9.9% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- With a nominal GDP of $191 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- median age 44 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- urbanization 70.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- control of corruption at 22 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the survival record reads a state that has collapsed within living memory — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy President PWR 57 | 58.58 / 100 | 61.2 | 35.2 | 12.5 | 61.6 | 49.0 | 17.6 | 51.7 | 45.9 | 44.8 |
| #46 | IraqWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A reserves cushion of 14 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At 27.4% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 4.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 42.92 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- life expectancy 73 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the civilizational record reads one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- 5,500 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- proved oil reserves of 145 billion barrels — energy weight you cannot sanction away, only negotiate around
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- 82.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Unemployment of 15.6% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At -0.3% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- infant mortality 18 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 71.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the survival record reads a state that has collapsed within living memory — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- treaty compliance: a mostly reliable treaty partner — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- the alliance record reads a steady ally — a reputation for leaving is the most expensive thing a state can carry into a negotiation
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 1.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- just 1.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Ali al-Zaidi Prime Minister PWR 40 | 58.43 / 100 | 62.4 | – | 40.0 | 49.2 | 44.7 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 43.4 | 50.6 |
| #47 | North KoreaWhy this rankingStrengths - a nuclear arsenal — membership in the one club nobody joins by invitation, where admission ends every argument
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- active military personnel 1.30 million — a standing army with mass, not just uniforms on a roster
- Unemployment of 2.9% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- With 9 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Nominal GDP of $16 billion — sheer economic mass that moves markets, shapes alliances, and forces everyone else to check its weather.
- fertility 1.8 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 36 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- the current constitutional order has stood 81 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- under multilateral sanctions — its economy negotiates with one hand tied by the world's rulebook
- At $600 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $600 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population growth 0.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- urbanization 63.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- continuous statehood of just 81 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- treaty compliance: a treaty-breaker — signatures are tactical — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- the alliance record reads an ally with a record of walking away — a reputation for leaving is the most expensive thing a state can carry into a negotiation
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Kim Jong Un Supreme Leader PWR 89 | 58.20 / 100 | 57.2 | 65.0 | 12.5 | 63.1 | 60.2 | 8.0 | 22.5 | 30.0 | 58.3 |
| #48 | PhilippinesWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.7% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a US mutual-defense treaty — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- Unemployment of 2.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A growth trend of 5.1%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 3.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 1.94 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- population 118.28 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 84.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $10,400 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $10,400 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 48.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.7% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 80 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- control of corruption at 38 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule-of-law percentile of 45 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 12.5% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- just 21.7% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Ferdinand Marcos Jr. President PWR 52 | 58.15 / 100 | 66.2 | – | 21.5 | 51.5 | 61.0 | 17.6 | 41.2 | 73.3 | 52.9 |
| #49 | PortugalWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- With 22 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- At 2.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $41,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 81 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 883 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- 76.2% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- 85.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- 86.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Public debt of 125.7% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 46 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- urbanization 67.9% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- jurisdictions running on its legal model: 8 — its rules govern no one beyond its own borders
- universities ranked among the world's best: 3 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 17 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Luís Montenegro Prime Minister PWR 48 | 58.04 / 100 | 57.8 | – | 12.5 | 67.4 | 69.4 | 24.3 | 57.5 | 54.4 | 58.3 |
| #50 | EthiopiaWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- a regional power — weight in the world that was earned, not assigned
- A growth trend of 8.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 3.4% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 31.4% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- population 121.37 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- the civilizational record reads one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- low-carbon electricity at 100.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- 99.8% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- power-sector carbon intensity 23 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- At 21.0%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- urbanization 23.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- infant mortality 31 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 12 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- corruption-control percentile of 22 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 25 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 17.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Abiy Ahmed Prime Minister PWR 42 | 57.81 / 100 | 64.8 | – | 12.5 | 46.6 | 45.8 | 19.5 | 57.5 | 48.4 | 66.8 |
| #51 | EcuadorWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At 1.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 43.2% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 4.8% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- fertility 2.17 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the current constitutional order has stood 204 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- renewable electricity at 70.1% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- internet penetration at 77.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Economic diversification of 5 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 64.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 204 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- sovereign-default count: 2 — every lender reads that history before naming a price
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- commodity exposure: a one-commodity economy — fuel is the budget — one price chart governs the national mood
| Daniel Noboa President PWR 55 | 57.42 / 100 | 58.2 | – | 20.5 | 61.6 | 55.9 | 14.7 | 85.0 | 45.8 | 39.0 |
| #52 | PeruWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a regional power — weight in the world that was earned, not assigned
- A reserves cushion of 14 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- Economic diversification of 18 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- At 2.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 2.12 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 30 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- continuous statehood running 4,500 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- internet penetration at 80.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- renewable electricity at 58.3% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- critical minerals: copper and lithium in the Andes — the raw material of batteries and missiles alike, and others need it more than it needs them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $289 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $536 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- life expectancy 68 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 13 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- control of corruption at 38 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- government effectiveness at 42 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
- resource rents: rents leak — no fund, no cushion — the boom's proceeds evaporate before they can become a future
| Keiko Fujimori President PWR 43 | 57.25 / 100 | 61.5 | – | 31.7 | 57.0 | 62.1 | 15.3 | 57.5 | 43.3 | 48.5 |
| #53 | OmanWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- At 1.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Unemployment of 3.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At $36,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- urbanization 88.4% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- fertility 2.61 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 27 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the current constitutional order has stood 376 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- internet penetration at 95.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 4 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Nominal GDP of $107 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $194 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 1.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 3.97 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 376 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- low-carbon power at 4.2% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- only 4.2% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| — | 56.91 / 100 | 53.9 | – | 35.7 | 65.6 | 52.1 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 50.5 | 60.7 |
| #54 | ColombiaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.4% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- FX reserves covering 9 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Labor productivity of $18,500 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $18,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- median age 33 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.94 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 216 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- 61.8% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- internet penetration at 77.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 9.7%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- Public debt of 71.3% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- life expectancy 74 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- UNESCO World Heritage sites: 9 — the world has found little here it considers irreplaceable
- a statehood history of 216 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- corruption-control percentile of 45 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Abelardo de la Espriella President PWR 50 | 56.73 / 100 | 63.3 | – | 12.5 | 61.8 | 56.2 | 19.6 | 45.0 | 56.8 | 37.2 |
| #55 | ChileWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At 21.0% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At $30,200 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $30,200 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- urbanization 88.0% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- life expectancy 80 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 216 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- 95.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- critical minerals: lithium — ~9.3Mt of reserves, the world's largest stockpile — the raw material of batteries and missiles alike, and others need it more than it needs them
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no collective-defense treaty — when the shooting starts, this capital stands alone by treaty
- FX reserves covering 5 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Foreign direct investment of $21 billion — the world is putting its money everywhere except here.
- $30 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- fertility 1.25 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- world-class universities: 2 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- continuous statehood of just 216 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
- only 8 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| José Antonio Kast President PWR 52 | 56.51 / 100 | 60.0 | – | 48.7 | 66.4 | 59.9 | 19.6 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 33.1 |
| #56 | RomaniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 2.3% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At $40,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $40,600 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- Inflation of 5.7% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- infant mortality 5 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.63 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 89.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- low-carbon electricity at 68.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 0.7% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- At 5 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- urbanization 54.7% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- median age 45 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- continuous statehood of just 696 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Luca Niculescu Prime Minister PWR 36 | 56.50 / 100 | 60.0 | – | 35.0 | 65.8 | 68.0 | 14.5 | 45.5 | 73.6 | 33.1 |
| #57 | UzbekistanWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.8% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- FX reserves covering 11 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Public debt of 10.5% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 7.1%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- median age 29 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- fertility 2.6 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- internet penetration at 89.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $115 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- Economic diversification of 7 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 50.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 1.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- infant mortality 17 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- control of corruption at 28 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule-of-law percentile of 35 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- low-carbon power at 16.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- only 16.0% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Shavkat Mirziyoyev President PWR 62 | 56.19 / 100 | 60.3 | – | 12.5 | 56.2 | 62.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.0 | 63.7 |
| #58 | KuwaitWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a US mutual-defense treaty — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- Public debt of 9.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Inflation of 2.9% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Unemployment of 2.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- urbanization 100.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- fertility 2.19 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 30 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- 100.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Economic diversification of 7 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- Nominal GDP of $160 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $226 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population growth 1.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population 3.17 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 65 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- constitutional stability of 65 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- low-carbon power at 2.2% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 2.2% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| — | 56.17 / 100 | 54.4 | – | 35.3 | 62.6 | 54.8 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 62.0 | 50.7 |
| #59 | VenezuelaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- a regional power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- A growth trend of 10.6%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Public debt of 38.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- At 5.5% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- fertility 2.16 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- urbanization 88.4% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the current constitutional order has stood 215 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- renewable electricity at 87.4% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- proved oil reserves of 303 billion barrels — energy weight you cannot sanction away, only negotiate around
- 87.4% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 200.9%, prices are a moving target — savers lose, speculators win, and nobody plans past the season.
- At $4,900 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 0.9% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- infant mortality 13 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- control of corruption at 8 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule-of-law percentile of 12 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- government-effectiveness percentile of 12 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Delcy Rodríguez Interim President PWR 44 | 55.91 / 100 | 59.5 | – | 45.6 | 56.3 | 51.5 | 15.3 | 50.0 | 39.6 | 60.1 |
| #60 | KenyaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a regional power — weight in the world that was earned, not assigned
- At 4.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- A growth trend of 4.6%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Unemployment of 5.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 55.75 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.1% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- low-carbon electricity at 91.9% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- carbon intensity of 84 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $124 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $5,800 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- urbanization 29.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 26 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- median age 21 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- a statehood history of 63 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- control of corruption at 28 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 35 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- internet access at 35.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
| William Ruto President PWR 45 | 55.78 / 100 | 61.7 | – | 12.5 | 52.8 | 50.1 | 17.0 | 57.5 | 55.3 | 47.7 |
| #61 | BangladeshWhy this rankingStrengths - contributing 5800 UN peacekeepers — the kind of credibility no speech can buy
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Public debt of 33.3% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- At 4.7% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Growth trend of 3.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- fertility 2.25 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- population 174.37 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- median age 27 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Megaprojects pipeline of $80 billion — no great works underway, which means no great future being built.
- urbanization 40.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 22 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 55 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- corruption-control percentile of 22 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 28 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 2.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 2.0% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Tarique Rahman Prime Minister PWR 48 | 55.70 / 100 | 67.5 | – | 12.5 | 42.2 | 46.9 | 17.0 | 48.3 | 52.0 | 44.3 |
| #62 | AngolaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a regional power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- With 17 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Growth trend of 3.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- A reserves cushion of 7 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- population growth 3.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 38.98 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- rent capture: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — booms end, but funds compound
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 14.5%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- $5 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Inflation of 28.2% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- fertility 5.45 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 46 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- median age 16 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- control of corruption at 15 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 22 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- export structure: a one-commodity economy — fuel is the budget — prosperity with a single point of failure
| João Lourenço President PWR 45 | 55.43 / 100 | 60.4 | – | 20.5 | 42.6 | 42.9 | 8.0 | 85.0 | 35.3 | 58.8 |
| #63 | GreeceWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.9% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At 2.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $37,800 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $37,800 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 81 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- continuous statehood running 3,400 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- 85.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- power-sector carbon intensity 319 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no space capability — a country without a launchpad watches the space age from the ground floor
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 190.6% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- median age 46 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- universities ranked among the world's best: 2 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 19 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Kyriakos Mitsotakis Prime Minister PWR 53 | 55.37 / 100 | 57.5 | – | 21.5 | 61.6 | 58.4 | 21.2 | 45.0 | 65.5 | 52.8 |
| #64 | AzerbaijanWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- Inflation of 2.2% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At 16.8% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Labor productivity of $22,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- median age 34 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.69 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 89.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- Nominal GDP of $74 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- FX reserves covering 5 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At $225 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 57.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- corruption-control percentile of 32 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 40 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- low-carbon power at 12.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 11.6% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Ilham Aliyev President PWR 56 | 55.03 / 100 | 55.6 | – | 22.8 | 56.5 | 52.7 | 8.0 | 85.0 | 40.9 | 52.0 |
| #65 | LibyaWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- FX reserves covering 33 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- At 7.5% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Growth trend of 7.0% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 77 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- urbanization 81.6% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- data transparency at 83.3% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- 89.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: rents captured — a sovereign fund banks the windfall — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 18.7%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- With a nominal GDP of $47 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $91 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 1.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 7.36 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 75 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- institutional memory: a state that has collapsed within living memory — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Transitional authority (contested) | 54.86 / 100 | 53.8 | – | 31.2 | 58.0 | 48.7 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 47.6 | 56.5 |
| #66 | Democratic Republic of the CongoWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 1.2% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Public debt of 16.0% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 6.2%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Unemployment of 4.6% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- population 119.04 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 3.1% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the alliance record reads a steady ally — powers remember who stood beside them when it cost something
- critical-mineral endowment: cobalt — ~70% of world mine output — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
- export structure: commodity-heavy exports — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- an agricultural base of 10 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Prosperity per person of $1,500 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- infant mortality 55 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 5.42 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- control of corruption at 8 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 10 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
- only 31.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
| Félix Tshisekedi President PWR 41 | 54.72 / 100 | 63.2 | – | 41.7 | 38.9 | 37.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 48.3 | 60.9 |
| #67 | TanzaniaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 1.3% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- Unemployment of 2.6% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Growth trend of 5.7% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Inflation of 3.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- population 69.15 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.9% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- power-sector carbon intensity 371 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 3 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- Prosperity per person of $3,700 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- urbanization 37.4% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- fertility 4.45 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 28 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- continuous statehood of just 62 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 62 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 29.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- just 25.5% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Samia Suluhu Hassan President PWR 48 | 54.17 / 100 | 61.9 | – | 12.5 | 49.4 | 48.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 57.3 | 44.4 |
| #68 | GhanaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- 2800 peacekeepers contributed — it puts its own soldiers between other people's wars and peace
- At 3.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- A growth trend of 5.8%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Economic diversification of 8 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 35.34 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 2.1% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 70.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Inflation of 22.8% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 59.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- fertility 3.51 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- a statehood history of 69 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| John Mahama President PWR 52 | 53.94 / 100 | 59.7 | – | 12.5 | 50.8 | 45.5 | 13.7 | 57.5 | 59.5 | 49.9 |
| #69 | BulgariaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.1% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- Economic diversification of 14 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- Inflation of 2.4% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Labor productivity of $34,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- infant mortality 7 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- fertility 1.52 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 80.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- 72.9% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $112 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $220 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- median age 45 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Rumen Radev Prime Minister PWR 55 | 53.72 / 100 | 54.7 | – | 10.0 | 64.7 | 69.6 | 13.2 | 52.3 | 75.2 | 48.9 |
| #70 | CzechiaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- Inflation of 2.4% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At 2.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At $48,000 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.73 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- internet penetration at 86.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 57.8% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - arms exports of just 0.3% of the world market — a customer of the arms trade, never its author
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Economic diversification of 5 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- At 1.8% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- population growth 0.0% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 44 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- world-class universities: 2 — great powers are built in lecture halls before they are built anywhere else
- the current constitutional order is 33 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 10.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Andrej Babiš Prime Minister PWR 44 | 53.65 / 100 | 58.1 | 0.7 | 10.0 | 63.5 | 62.5 | 9.3 | 48.2 | 77.1 | 33.3 |
| #71 | HungaryWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.1% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At $40,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $40,700 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 4.5% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.6 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 92.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- power-sector carbon intensity 182 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
- 73.8% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 0.5% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- population growth 0.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 45 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Péter Magyar Prime Minister PWR 48 | 53.49 / 100 | 57.0 | – | 10.0 | 67.8 | 62.1 | 9.3 | 46.8 | 64.7 | 38.6 |
| #72 | Sri LankaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Growth trend of 5.0% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 5.0% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Inflation of 0.4% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- fertility 2.12 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 34 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 49.3% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 3 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Nominal GDP of $99 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- urbanization 19.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.2% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- corruption-control percentile of 42 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- government effectiveness at 48 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Anura Kumara Dissanayake President PWR 60 | 53.37 / 100 | 58.4 | – | 21.5 | 57.7 | 50.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.4 | 41.1 |
| #73 | GuatemalaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Inflation of 2.9% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Unemployment of 2.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Public debt of 31.6% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- fertility 1.97 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 26 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 205 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- low-carbon electricity at 74.5% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- carbon intensity of 272 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $113 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $233 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- urbanization 53.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 23 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 1.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 205 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Bernardo Arévalo President PWR 54 | 53.27 / 100 | 58.0 | – | 12.5 | 59.4 | 58.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.7 | 39.7 |
| #74 | CambodiaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Unemployment of 0.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Inflation of 2.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 5.7% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- fertility 2.14 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 28 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the civilizational record reads a deep civilizational inheritance — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 61.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $46 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $124 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 25.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 27 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 0.9% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- corruption-control percentile of 18 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule-of-law percentile of 25 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- government effectiveness at 30 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Hun Manet Prime Minister PWR 49 | 53.25 / 100 | 56.6 | – | 12.5 | 52.4 | 67.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 50.2 | 61.5 |
| #75 | UgandaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- A growth trend of 6.2%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 3.0% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 3.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- population growth 3.1% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 50.86 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- an agricultural base of 10 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At $2,900 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- urbanization 26.8% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- fertility 5.08 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- median age 16 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 64 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- constitutional stability of 64 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 15.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Yoweri Museveni President PWR 36 | 53.09 / 100 | 60.1 | – | 12.5 | 46.5 | 49.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 58.7 | 50.2 |
| #76 | IrelandWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- Labor productivity of $115,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $115,300 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 2.1%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 82 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- fertility 1.72 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 105 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- 97.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- carbon intensity of 279 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Economic diversification of 6 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 64.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- a statehood history of 105 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- universities ranked among the world's best: 5 — a country that does not grow minds must import them
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Micheál Martin Taoiseach PWR 52 | 52.70 / 100 | 56.6 | – | 12.5 | 63.3 | 57.6 | 9.3 | 55.0 | 48.7 | 32.9 |
| #77 | Costa RicaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At $27,000 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $27,000 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 0.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- life expectancy 80 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- median age 36 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 205 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- 80.9% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- 94.0% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- carbon intensity of 63 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 6 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- With a nominal GDP of $95 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population 5.30 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- continuous statehood of just 205 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Laura Fernández Delgado President PWR 51 | 52.61 / 100 | 53.7 | – | 12.5 | 72.4 | 53.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 47.5 | 42.6 |
| #78 | Dominican RepublicWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 34.6% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 3.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $24,200 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- fertility 2.17 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 29 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- urbanization 84.4% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- constitutional stability of 182 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- internet penetration at 85.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 4 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- With a nominal GDP of $124 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 20 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 182 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 18.5% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- only 17.6% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Luis Abinader President PWR 61 | 52.58 / 100 | 56.7 | – | 12.5 | 59.6 | 55.0 | 13.7 | 57.5 | 46.0 | 36.2 |
| #79 | TurkmenistanWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.9% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Public debt of 24.1% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Unemployment of 4.4% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A growth trend of 4.3%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 2.02 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- energy standing: an energy exporter — it sells power to the world — exporters set terms, importers receive them
- gas reserves of 12 trillion cubic meters — the fuel that heats rivals' homes and cools their tempers
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 5 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- With a nominal GDP of $64 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- infant mortality 35 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 54.0% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.9% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 0.0% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- just 0.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Serdar Berdimuhamedow President PWR 43 | 52.55 / 100 | 53.7 | – | 32.8 | 50.7 | 44.6 | 8.0 | 85.0 | 46.7 | 47.6 |
| #80 | NepalWhy this rankingStrengths - contributing 6100 UN peacekeepers — the kind of credibility no speech can buy
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 39.9% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- A reserves cushion of 8 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- A growth trend of 4.1%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- fertility 1.82 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 28 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 258 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- internet penetration at 56.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $43 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- Prosperity per person of $5,000 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- urbanization 21.9% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 23 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 0.7% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- corruption-control percentile of 28 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- government-effectiveness percentile of 32 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- rule of law at 35 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Balendra Shah Prime Minister PWR 45 | 52.44 / 100 | 58.3 | – | 21.7 | 43.1 | 57.3 | 17.0 | 57.5 | 51.9 | 46.5 |
| #81 | PanamaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- defense spending at 1.1% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Labor productivity of $36,400 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $36,400 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 37.4% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 2.33 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- life expectancy 79 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 123 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- 78.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- 61.5% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- $2 billion — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- Economic diversification of 4 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 69.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 1.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 123 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| José Raúl Mulino President PWR 57 | 52.31 / 100 | 53.2 | – | 38.2 | 65.3 | 52.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.3 | 44.9 |
| #82 | KyrgyzstanWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- a defense burden of 3.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Growth trend of 10.0% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 3.3% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Economic diversification of 11 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- fertility 2.43 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- renewable electricity at 84.0% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- internet penetration at 89.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- low-carbon electricity at 84.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $17 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $51 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 37.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 24 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Sadyr Japarov President PWR 53 | 52.19 / 100 | 52.2 | – | 12.5 | 64.8 | 52.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 47.0 | 69.6 |
| #83 | TajikistanWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.8% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Growth trend of 8.4% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Public debt of 42.0% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Economic diversification of 8 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 10.59 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 1.9% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- continuous statehood running 2,500 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- 89.3% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- 89.3% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 115 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $14 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $50 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 28.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- fertility 3.52 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 20 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Emomali Rahmon President PWR 46 | 52.14 / 100 | 53.1 | – | 12.5 | 60.0 | 55.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.7 | 65.7 |
| #84 | Côte d'IvoireWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Unemployment of 2.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Growth trend of 6.2% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 3.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 31.86 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- power-sector carbon intensity 393 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $87 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- Prosperity per person of $6,700 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- infant mortality 52 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 53.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- fertility 3.85 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- continuous statehood of just 66 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- control of corruption at 35 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 42 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- just 31.1% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Alassane Ouattara President PWR 50 | 52.07 / 100 | 59.4 | – | 12.5 | 46.4 | 49.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.9 | 46.4 |
| #85 | GeorgiaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.7% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 8.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Inflation of 1.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At $25,000 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- fertility 1.94 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 38 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- renewable electricity at 80.2% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- 80.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 143 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- With a nominal GDP of $34 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 60.7% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- infant mortality 20 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Irakli Kobakhidze Prime Minister PWR 39 | 51.80 / 100 | 51.1 | – | 12.5 | 63.7 | 58.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 50.5 | 72.2 |
| #86 | SerbiaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At $26,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $26,900 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 4.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- fertility 1.47 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 85.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $89 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $177 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- urbanization 57.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 44 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- constitutional stability of 20 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- carbon intensity of 670 gCO2/kWh — every kilowatt-hour carries a debt to the atmosphere
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Aleksandar Vučić President PWR 38 | 51.78 / 100 | 54.4 | – | 15.0 | 60.2 | 60.6 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 50.4 | 43.3 |
| #87 | JordanWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a US mutual-defense treaty — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- Inflation of 1.6% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- A reserves cushion of 9 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- Economic diversification of 11 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- urbanization 92.0% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 76 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- continuous statehood running 4,000 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- internet penetration at 93.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At 18.0%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Public debt of 102.8% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 1.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 11.31 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the current constitutional order is 80 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- control of corruption at 58 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 4 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Jafar Hassan Prime Minister PWR 56 | 51.73 / 100 | 55.6 | – | 21.5 | 55.5 | 58.3 | 15.8 | 46.7 | 65.0 | 41.1 |
| #88 | TunisiaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Labor productivity of $12,700 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $12,700 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 62.3% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- median age 34 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.59 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 72.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 16.3%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $53 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- population growth 0.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- urbanization 70.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- corruption-control percentile of 45 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- government effectiveness at 45 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 4.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 4.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Kaïs Saïed President PWR 31 | 51.73 / 100 | 55.6 | – | 12.5 | 52.0 | 56.5 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 61.1 | 51.0 |
| #89 | CroatiaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- With 14 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Inflation of 3.0% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At $42,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 77 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- internet penetration at 83.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- renewable electricity at 65.9% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- carbon intensity of 174 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $93 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 58.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 44 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Andrej Plenković Prime Minister PWR 46 | 51.64 / 100 | 52.7 | – | 21.7 | 65.7 | 59.3 | 9.3 | 49.0 | 75.6 | 42.3 |
| #90 | ParaguayWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Public debt of 18.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 5.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 3.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- median age 32 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.88 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- life expectancy 78 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the current constitutional order has stood 215 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- 100.0% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- 99.5% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- power-sector carbon intensity 24 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $44 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $113 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 63.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 21 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 1.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 215 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Santiago Peña President PWR 58 | 51.62 / 100 | 53.6 | – | 12.5 | 62.9 | 63.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.8 | 45.6 |
| #91 | MadagascarWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Economic diversification of 14 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- At 3.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 38.4% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 31.35 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 2.1% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- an agricultural base of 10 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Prosperity per person of $1,700 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- Labor productivity of $1,700 per worker — a workforce running hard just to stand still.
- urbanization 40.6% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 38 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- fertility 3.47 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- continuous statehood of just 66 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- constitutional stability of 66 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- internet access at 20.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Michael Randrianirina Transitional President PWR 31 | 51.54 / 100 | 57.0 | – | 21.5 | 49.2 | 52.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 48.2 | 45.4 |
| #92 | SenegalWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.6% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 6.8%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 3.0% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Inflation of 0.8% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 18.85 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.4% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 61.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $32 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $83 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- urbanization 49.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 3.96 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- world-heritage sites on the UNESCO list: 7 — other nations carved their memory in stone; this one is still looking for the chisel
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 21.7% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- renewables at 20.4% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Bassirou Diomaye Faye President PWR 46 | 51.43 / 100 | 56.2 | – | 12.5 | 50.2 | 49.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 50.1 | 55.6 |
| #93 | HondurasWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 4.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Public debt of 38.5% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- At 6.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- fertility 2.29 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- median age 26 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 205 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- carbon intensity of 289 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- 61.6% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 5 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- With a nominal GDP of $37 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 60.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 205 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Nasry Asfura President PWR 46 | 51.41 / 100 | 54.7 | – | 12.5 | 61.9 | 56.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 43.9 | 40.2 |
| #94 | UruguayWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.1% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- FX reserves covering 10 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Labor productivity of $32,000 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $32,000 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- urbanization 95.8% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- constitutional stability of 201 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- low-carbon electricity at 94.6% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- internet penetration at 90.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- renewable electricity at 72.7% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 6 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- With a nominal GDP of $81 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population 3.45 million — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- a statehood history of 201 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Yamandú Orsi President PWR 53 | 51.40 / 100 | 52.2 | – | 12.5 | 68.5 | 59.8 | 13.7 | 57.5 | 42.5 | 40.2 |
| #95 | SlovakiaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- With 17 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- At 2.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $40,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 5 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.6 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- 90.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- low-carbon electricity at 86.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- power-sector carbon intensity 96 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $142 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- urbanization 54.0% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- median age 43 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- continuous statehood of just 33 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 33 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 18.7% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Robert Fico Prime Minister PWR 40 | 51.31 / 100 | 54.5 | – | 10.0 | 63.4 | 60.1 | 9.3 | 52.3 | 76.1 | 30.4 |
| #96 | CameroonWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 1.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At 3.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 32.5% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 4.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 31.52 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.4% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- 63.4% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 63.9% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $51 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $4,900 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- infant mortality 44 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- fertility 3.87 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- corruption-control percentile of 18 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 25 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Paul Biya President PWR 27 | 51.18 / 100 | 58.4 | – | 12.5 | 50.5 | 44.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.6 | 37.6 |
| #97 | LithuaniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 4.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- With 20 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Labor productivity of $47,200 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $47,200 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 76 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- 89.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- 70.5% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- low-carbon electricity at 80.3% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $85 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 44 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- urbanization 68.7% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- continuous statehood of just 108 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Mindaugas Sinkevičius Prime Minister PWR 45 | 51.13 / 100 | 51.7 | – | 12.5 | 64.7 | 61.7 | 13.2 | 48.3 | 78.1 | 48.0 |
| #98 | BoliviaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 1.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 3.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 5.1%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Public debt of 49.0% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- fertility 2.13 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 27 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 201 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- critical-mineral endowment: lithium — vast salars, mostly undeveloped — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
- 70.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: commodity-heavy exports — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Growth trend of -0.1% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- infant mortality 22 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 1.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 71.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- continuous statehood of just 201 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
- resource rents: rents leak — no fund, no cushion — the boom's proceeds evaporate before they can become a future
| Rodrigo Paz President PWR 52 | 51.09 / 100 | 55.8 | – | 31.7 | 53.8 | 58.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 43.6 | 32.2 |
| #99 | SudanWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- a defense burden of 1.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- A growth trend of 8.3%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- With 13 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- A PPP GDP of $94 billion: the real, street-level size of the economy once prices stop lying.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 50.47 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 2.5% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- 4,500 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- at war — a state at war judges itself on survival first, and everything else is a footnote
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $1,900 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 36.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 39 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the current constitutional order is 70 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 26.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Abdel Fattah al-Burhan Chairman of the Transitional Sovereignty Council PWR 17 | 50.97 / 100 | 59.9 | – | 12.5 | 39.1 | 40.9 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 45.0 | 50.9 |
| #100 | RwandaWhy this rankingStrengths - contributing 5900 UN peacekeepers — the kind of credibility no speech can buy
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Growth trend of 9.1% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Inflation of 1.8% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Public debt of 37.3% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 13.62 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.0% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 56.6% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- power-sector carbon intensity 301 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $14 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $3,300 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- urbanization 17.9% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 27 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- life expectancy 66 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- continuous statehood of just 64 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- constitutional stability of 64 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- internet access at 34.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
| Paul Kagame President PWR 43 | 50.80 / 100 | 54.3 | – | 12.5 | 45.8 | 49.6 | 18.7 | 57.5 | 62.6 | 57.6 |
| #101 | MaliWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 4.3% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 3.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Growth trend of 5.3% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Public debt of 36.0% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.9% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 22.63 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- power-sector carbon intensity 394 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Economic diversification of 3 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $27 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- infant mortality 55 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- fertility 5.26 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- institutional memory: a state that has collapsed within living memory — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- the current constitutional order is 66 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Assimi Goïta President of the Transition PWR 36 | 50.73 / 100 | 56.8 | – | 12.5 | 43.5 | 41.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 48.1 | 63.4 |
| #102 | GuineaWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.1% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 6.6%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Unemployment of 5.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 41.8% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.7% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- population 14.37 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- renewable electricity at 74.8% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- 74.8% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- carbon intensity of 182 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 2 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- With a nominal GDP of $25 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- infant mortality 45 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 38.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- fertility 4.75 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- continuous statehood of just 68 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- constitutional stability of 68 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 27.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Mamadi Doumbouya President PWR 46 | 50.55 / 100 | 55.0 | – | 31.7 | 50.5 | 42.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.4 | 45.7 |
| #103 | AfghanistanWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 3.3% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- A reserves cushion of 16 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- Economic diversification of 15 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- At 7.8% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.9% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- population 49.47 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- 86.6% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- 86.6% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 123 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $2,000 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $2,000 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- urbanization 26.9% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- fertility 4.89 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- corruption-control percentile of 5 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule-of-law percentile of 8 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- government-effectiveness percentile of 8 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 18.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
| Mohammad Hasan Akhund Acting Prime Minister PWR 26 | 50.45 / 100 | 58.1 | – | 12.5 | 40.1 | 46.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 41.2 | 56.8 |
| #104 | El SalvadorWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 1.2% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Unemployment of 2.9% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 0.9%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Growth trend of 3.3% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- infant mortality 10 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 205 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- 92.5% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- carbon intensity of 101 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 2 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- With a nominal GDP of $35 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.3% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 75.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- a statehood history of 205 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Nayib Bukele President PWR 67 | 50.38 / 100 | 52.9 | – | 12.5 | 65.1 | 54.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.1 | 36.6 |
| #105 | ZambiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- defense spending at 1.3% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- At 6.0% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- A growth trend of 3.9%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Economic diversification of 9 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.5% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- population 22.02 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- an agricultural base of 11 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $26 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At 3 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- urbanization 46.3% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 3.67 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- a statehood history of 62 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the current constitutional order is 62 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- only 33.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
| Hakainde Hichilema President PWR 56 | 50.22 / 100 | 56.5 | – | 12.5 | 46.5 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 57.2 | 43.4 |
| #106 | ArmeniaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- With 17 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Growth trend of 6.6% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 0.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 1.66 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 76 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 80.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- carbon intensity of 244 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 2 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- At 13.4%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 63.7% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- rule-of-law percentile of 55 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Nikol Pashinyan Prime Minister PWR 64 | 50.20 / 100 | 50.0 | – | 12.5 | 58.7 | 62.1 | 8.0 | 51.0 | 56.9 | 72.3 |
| #107 | MongoliaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- A growth trend of 5.9%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Unemployment of 5.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Labor productivity of $16,800 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- median age 28 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 2.6 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- institutional memory: survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 2,200 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- 83.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- critical-mineral endowment: copper and rare earths — whoever holds the matter of the transition holds a leash on the future
- commodity exposure: commodity-heavy exports — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $24 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $59 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population growth 1.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 69.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- corruption-control percentile of 45 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- government-effectiveness percentile of 50 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- carbon intensity of 784 gCO2/kWh — every kilowatt-hour carries a debt to the atmosphere
- low-carbon power at 9.7% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Uchral Nyam-Osor Prime Minister PWR 46 | 50.03 / 100 | 50.3 | – | 22.5 | 53.4 | 61.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 53.9 | 69.0 |
| #108 | CubaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- defense spending at 4.2% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- annual military expenditure $11 billion — the budget that makes adversaries do the math twice
- At 1.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At $23,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $23,700 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- infant mortality 5 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 80 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 83.3% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- constitutional stability of 124 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 71.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Inflation of 76.1% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- At 0.4% growth, the country is not developing, it is waiting — and demography will not wait for it to start.
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- median age 46 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 124 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- rule-of-law percentile of 30 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- treaty compliance: a treaty-breaker — signatures are tactical — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Miguel Díaz-Canel President PWR 32 | 49.96 / 100 | 56.3 | – | 21.5 | 65.5 | 60.4 | 13.7 | 22.5 | 34.8 | 37.0 |
| #109 | MozambiqueWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Unemployment of 3.6% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 4.1%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Economic diversification of 10 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 34.21 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 2.5% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $1,500 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $1,500 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- infant mortality 56 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 38.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the current constitutional order is 51 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 20.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Daniel Chapo President PWR 40 | 49.90 / 100 | 57.7 | – | 21.5 | 44.6 | 45.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.9 | 34.3 |
| #110 | ChadWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 3.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 1.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Growth trend of 4.6% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Public debt of 52.4% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- population growth 3.0% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 19.67 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- an agricultural base of 10 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $21 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $2,600 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- infant mortality 61 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 24.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- fertility 5.13 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- continuous statehood of just 66 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the current constitutional order is 66 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 13.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Mahamat Idriss Déby President PWR 40 | 49.79 / 100 | 55.7 | – | 12.5 | 43.2 | 43.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.1 | 60.2 |
| #111 | LatviaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- a defense burden of 3.7% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At 1.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 36.3% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At $38,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 76 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- 92.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- carbon intensity of 136 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- 62.2% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 2 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- Nominal GDP of $44 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- median age 43 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- urbanization 68.7% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.3% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- continuous statehood of just 108 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Andris Kulbergs Prime Minister PWR 41 | 49.57 / 100 | 49.4 | – | 15.0 | 68.0 | 59.1 | 13.2 | 57.5 | 74.7 | 30.9 |
| #112 | NicaraguaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 33.3% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 4.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 4.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 1.82 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 29 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 205 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 64.5% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 288 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $20 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $53 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 59.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- a statehood history of 205 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- treaty compliance: a mostly reliable treaty partner — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Daniel Ortega President PWR 30 | 49.57 / 100 | 52.3 | – | 12.5 | 58.3 | 64.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 47.8 | 41.0 |
| #113 | BurmaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 3.9% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- 450,000 troops on active duty — manpower that turns doctrine into something an enemy can count
- command of 1 world chokepoints — geography this valuable is a weapon you never have to fire
- Economic diversification of 13 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- At 3.1% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Public debt of 35.7% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- median age 31 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.95 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the civilizational record reads a deep civilizational inheritance — and old nations do not need to invent a past; they need only not betray it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 59.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- at war — a state at war judges itself on survival first, and everything else is a footnote
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Growth trend of -0.5% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- Nominal GDP of $74 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- urbanization 32.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- corruption-control percentile of 10 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule-of-law percentile of 12 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- government effectiveness at 12 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Min Aung Hlaing Chairman, State Security and Peace Commission PWR 85 | 49.46 / 100 | 60.9 | – | 23.4 | 46.9 | 43.5 | 8.0 | 22.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 |
| #114 | AlbaniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- Inflation of 2.2% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At $18,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $18,900 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- life expectancy 79 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- median age 37 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- low-carbon electricity at 100.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- renewable electricity at 100.0% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- carbon intensity of 24 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $27 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $51 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 64.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- population 2.55 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — partners here are seasonal, and the seasons change fast
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Edi Rama Prime Minister PWR 48 | 49.26 / 100 | 49.3 | – | 12.5 | 63.1 | 65.4 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 76.9 | 41.6 |
| #115 | BahrainWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 1.2% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At $59,100 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $59,100 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- median age 33 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- urbanization 89.9% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 80 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- 100.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- Public debt of 111.6% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- Nominal GDP of $48 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 1.57 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 55 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- constitutional stability of 55 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 4 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| — | 49.04 / 100 | 48.9 | – | 12.5 | 68.9 | 47.9 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 66.2 | 46.1 |
| #116 | SloveniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At 2.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $48,500 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $48,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- life expectancy 82 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- internet penetration at 90.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- 76.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $72 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 56.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 46 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Janez Janša Prime Minister PWR 48 | 48.90 / 100 | 50.5 | – | 15.0 | 66.6 | 59.0 | 9.3 | 51.7 | 76.2 | 29.8 |
| #117 | BelarusWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- a CSTO collective-defense pact — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- Unemployment of 3.4% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 33.2% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At $29,000 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- fertility 1.45 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 92.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- carbon intensity of 313 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 2 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- Nominal GDP of $76 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- population growth 0.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- rule-of-law percentile of 25 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 1.9% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Alexander Lukashenka President PWR 24 | 48.19 / 100 | 55.3 | – | 10.0 | 60.5 | 64.1 | 9.3 | 26.7 | 43.7 | 44.9 |
| #118 | Papua New GuineaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Unemployment of 2.8% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A growth trend of 4.9%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Inflation of 0.6% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.2% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 10.27 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $33 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $45 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- urbanization 13.7% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 31 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- fertility 3.72 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 51 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 24.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| James Marape Prime Minister PWR 60 | 48.07 / 100 | 54.4 | – | 12.5 | 45.8 | 47.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 56.3 | 46.8 |
| #119 | NigerWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- Unemployment of 0.4% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Growth trend of 7.7% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Public debt of 45.2% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- population growth 3.6% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 27.32 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- the energy ledger reads an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $1,800 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- Labor productivity of $1,800 per worker — a workforce running hard just to stand still.
- fertility 6.55 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- urbanization 17.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 63 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- institutional memory: a state that has collapsed within living memory — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 2.5% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 2.5% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Abdourahamane Tiani Transitional President PWR 39 | 47.80 / 100 | 56.6 | – | 12.5 | 36.4 | 39.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.0 | 57.6 |
| #120 | LaosWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Unemployment of 1.3% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A growth trend of 4.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- With 9 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- fertility 2.19 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 25 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- renewable electricity at 76.6% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- low-carbon electricity at 76.7% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military expenditure of $33 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- With a nominal GDP of $17 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 38.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 34 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- life expectancy 69 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- corruption-control percentile of 22 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 28 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government-effectiveness percentile of 35 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Thongloun Sisoulith President PWR 43 | 47.65 / 100 | 52.5 | – | 12.5 | 54.3 | 42.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 53.5 | 46.3 |
| #121 | BeninWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Growth trend of 7.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 1.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 1.8% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- population growth 3.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 15.19 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At 4 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- Nominal GDP of $21 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- infant mortality 51 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 5.3 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- urbanization 50.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the current constitutional order is 66 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 3.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- renewables at 3.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Romuald Wadagni President PWR 38 | 47.01 / 100 | 54.8 | – | 12.5 | 39.7 | 45.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 49.2 | 57.2 |
| #122 | IcelandWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At $65,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $65,600 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 3.2% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- urbanization 94.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 84 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- internet penetration at 100.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- 100.0% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- renewable electricity at 69.5% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $27 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- Nominal GDP of $33 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 364,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the alliance record reads a steady ally — a reputation for leaving is the most expensive thing a state can carry into a negotiation
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Kristrún Frostadóttir Prime Minister PWR 45 | 45.73 / 100 | 43.8 | – | 21.5 | 77.4 | 61.9 | 10.3 | 57.5 | 79.4 | 40.8 |
| #123 | LebanonWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.9% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- FX reserves covering 17 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- Economic diversification of 12 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- Labor productivity of $11,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- fertility 2.2 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- urbanization 89.4% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- median age 29 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- continuous statehood running 5,000 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- 84.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 46.7% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- Public debt of 146.8% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- Growth trend of -3.1% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- population growth 0.8% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- population 5.36 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- corruption-control percentile of 15 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 25 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government-effectiveness percentile of 25 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
| Nawaf Salam Prime Minister PWR 48 | 45.29 / 100 | 51.9 | – | 12.5 | 58.4 | 41.1 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 49.9 | 31.7 |
| #124 | NamibiaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.8% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Public debt of 4.6% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Inflation of 4.2% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- A growth trend of 2.7%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- fertility 2.85 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 23 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- low-carbon electricity at 97.9% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- 97.9% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- power-sector carbon intensity 47 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- Unemployment of 19.2% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $13 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 54.9% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 27 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- life expectancy 65 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- continuous statehood of just 36 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 36 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah President PWR 49 | 45.27 / 100 | 49.0 | – | 28.3 | 55.4 | 52.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 60.2 | 44.9 |
| #125 | GabonWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 1.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $18,900 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $18,900 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- urbanization 91.0% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.4% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- the energy ledger reads an energy exporter — it sells power to the world, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
- 72.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- At 20.1%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- infant mortality 26 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- life expectancy 70 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- median age 22 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- proved oil reserves of 2 billion barrels — a geology that offers nothing, which makes energy security a bill, not an inheritance
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Brice Oligui Nguema President PWR 44 | 44.86 / 100 | 49.1 | – | 12.4 | 50.4 | 45.6 | 8.0 | 85.0 | 50.0 | 38.1 |
| #126 | LuxembourgWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- At $128,200 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- With 15 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Prosperity per person of $128,200 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- life expectancy 83 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- urbanization 92.1% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 187 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- internet penetration at 99.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- 90.4% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- carbon intensity of 134 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $87 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population 671,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- population growth 1.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- a statehood history of 187 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Luc Frieden Prime Minister PWR 47 | 44.78 / 100 | 47.1 | – | 12.5 | 71.2 | 63.3 | 12.0 | 57.5 | 63.9 | 25.4 |
| #127 | JamaicaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 1.4% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- At 4.9% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 5.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $10,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- fertility 1.86 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 28 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 83.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Public debt of 106.3% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- With a nominal GDP of $20 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 57.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 64 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Andrew Holness Prime Minister PWR 62 | 44.58 / 100 | 49.7 | – | 12.5 | 64.2 | 46.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.3 | 33.0 |
| #128 | Burkina FasoWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 4.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Growth trend of 5.1% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 4.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Unemployment of 5.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 23.49 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.4% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- an agricultural base of 9 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Prosperity per person of $2,500 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- Labor productivity of $2,500 per worker — a workforce running hard just to stand still.
- infant mortality 48 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 32.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 66 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the survival record reads a state that has collapsed within living memory — collapsed states rebuild buildings faster than they rebuild trust
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 17.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- renewables at 12.1% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Ibrahim Traoré Transitional President PWR 36 | 44.24 / 100 | 56.4 | – | 12.5 | 36.7 | 41.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.3 | 42.4 |
| #129 | EstoniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- a defense burden of 3.4% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- Public debt of 28.3% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- At $41,500 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $41,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- infant mortality 2 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 78 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- internet penetration at 93.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 56.7% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $43 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- median age 42 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- urbanization 69.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- continuous statehood of just 108 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Kristen Michal Prime Minister PWR 46 | 43.33 / 100 | 48.3 | – | 12.5 | 63.9 | 55.9 | 13.2 | 57.5 | 76.4 | 21.3 |
| #130 | Bosnia and HerzegovinaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- With 15 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- At 1.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 40.3% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- internet penetration at 83.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $28 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $65 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 50.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- median age 45 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- population growth 0.7% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 34 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 34 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- carbon intensity of 638 gCO2/kWh — every kilowatt-hour carries a debt to the atmosphere
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Borjana Krišto Chairwoman of the Council of Ministers PWR 39 | 43.15 / 100 | 50.4 | – | 10.0 | 54.8 | 65.3 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 48.5 | 33.0 |
| #131 | Sierra LeoneWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 3.2% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- A growth trend of 4.3%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Public debt of 54.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.2% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 9.33 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- low-carbon electricity at 95.2% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- 95.2% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- power-sector carbon intensity 47 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- military spending of just $38 million — an army funded like a department store
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $8 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- FX reserves covering 2 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- infant mortality 70 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 44.3% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- life expectancy 59 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- continuous statehood of just 65 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 21.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Julius Maada Bio President PWR 46 | 42.69 / 100 | 51.5 | – | 12.5 | 51.3 | 41.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 57.3 | 40.5 |
| #132 | MalawiWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Unemployment of 5.1% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 55.6% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Growth trend of 1.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 21.76 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- population growth 2.2% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $1,600 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- urbanization 18.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 28 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- median age 19 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 62 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the current constitutional order is 62 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 18.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Peter Mutharika President PWR 43 | 42.50 / 100 | 55.5 | – | 12.5 | 41.7 | 42.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.5 | 25.8 |
| #133 | MauritaniaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.4% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Inflation of 2.5% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 4.6% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Labor productivity of $6,400 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.9% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 5.20 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $11 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- fertility 4.76 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 29 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 57.7% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Mohamed Ould Ghazouani President PWR 47 | 42.37 / 100 | 50.5 | – | 12.5 | 46.7 | 48.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 50.6 | 58.0 |
| #134 | TogoWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 2.2% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Inflation of 2.9% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Unemployment of 2.0% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Growth trend of 5.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.4% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 9.14 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- an agricultural base of 10 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $10 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $27 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 44.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 34 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- fertility 4.03 children per woman — a rate at war with stability: explosive growth the economy cannot absorb, or a demographic winter no policy has cracked
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- constitutional stability of 66 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 20.7% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 20.7% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Faure Gnassingbé President of the Council of Ministers PWR 36 | 42.31 / 100 | 52.0 | – | 12.5 | 47.1 | 42.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.4 | 48.8 |
| #135 | BurundiWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 1.0% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Growth trend of 3.9% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Public debt of 48.4% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- population growth 3.0% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 13.59 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 66.7% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 69.2% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- With a nominal GDP of $2 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- Prosperity per person of $800 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- urbanization 14.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- fertility 4.94 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 35 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- a statehood history of 64 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- internet access at 11.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Évariste Ndayishimiye President PWR 38 | 41.34 / 100 | 52.1 | – | 12.5 | 46.2 | 48.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.3 | 41.6 |
| #136 | SomaliaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- defense spending at 6.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- A growth trend of 3.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 6.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 93.0% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- population growth 3.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 20.32 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — in a world of fair-weather friends, a kept alliance is a currency that never devalues
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- a food base spanning 10 products — a country that can feed itself bargains with everyone and bows to no one
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Unemployment of 18.9% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- At $1,400 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $1,400 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- fertility 6.38 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- infant mortality 81 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- control of corruption at 3 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- rule of law at 5 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government-effectiveness percentile of 5 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 19.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
| Hassan Sheikh Mohamud President PWR 33 | 40.81 / 100 | 54.8 | – | 21.5 | 29.1 | 37.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.3 | 56.4 |
| #137 | LiberiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 2.9% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Public debt of 28.3% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 4.9%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.3% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 5.56 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the current constitutional order has stood 179 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- carbon intensity of 435 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military expenditure of $33 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $5 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- At $9 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- infant mortality 55 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 53.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- life expectancy 61 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 179 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 24.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Joseph Boakai President PWR 45 | 40.70 / 100 | 49.5 | – | 12.5 | 47.0 | 56.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 60.9 | 51.1 |
| #138 | North MacedoniaWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — an attack on one is an attack on all, and the treaties are signed in ink
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At 3.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $24,500 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $24,500 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 1.53 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- treaty compliance: a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — and in the long memory of diplomacy, nothing compounds like a kept promise
- internet penetration at 87.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $17 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At 13.5%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 59.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 2.14 million — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- continuous statehood of just 35 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 35 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Hristijan Mickoski Prime Minister PWR 45 | 39.60 / 100 | 47.8 | – | 10.0 | 54.1 | 59.1 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 76.5 | 39.0 |
| #139 | CyprusWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.7% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At 1.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $53,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $53,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- life expectancy 80 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 7 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 91.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $36 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.9% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- urbanization 67.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 1.33 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 23.8% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Nikos Christodoulides President PWR 49 | 38.49 / 100 | 48.0 | – | 12.5 | 62.2 | 50.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 35.4 | 38.3 |
| #140 | Republic of the CongoWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- defense spending at 1.2% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Inflation of 3.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- With 9 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Growth trend of 2.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population growth 2.4% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- population 6.10 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At 128.7% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- At 19.7%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- infant mortality 29 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 3.72 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- median age 20 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Denis Sassou Nguesso President PWR 32 | 38.47 / 100 | 51.7 | – | 12.5 | 44.7 | 44.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 48.8 | 40.2 |
| #141 | PalestineWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 15.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Public debt of 23.8% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- With 6 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 76 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- urbanization 77.6% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- 4,500 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- the survival record reads survived every shock of the modern era without state failure — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- 87.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- Unemployment of 24.5% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- fertility 3.44 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- median age 22 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- the diplomatic record reads a mostly reliable treaty partner — break enough treaties and the invitations to the table stop coming
- the alliance record reads a steady ally — a reputation for leaving is the most expensive thing a state can carry into a negotiation
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Mohammad Mustafa Prime Minister PWR 44 | 38.39 / 100 | 51.4 | – | 12.5 | 45.1 | 47.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.3 | 41.6 |
| #142 | ZimbabweWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- hard power flat — treading water — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- a middle power — weight in the world that was earned, not assigned
- Growth trend of 5.1% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- With 9 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Unemployment of 8.6% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 17.47 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 1.8% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- critical minerals: lithium — Africa's largest reserves — the raw material of batteries and missiles alike, and others need it more than it needs them
- export structure: commodity-heavy exports — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Inflation of 104.7% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- urbanization 32.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 32 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- social cohesion: strained — sanctions and unrest weigh on it — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- a statehood history of 46 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- corruption-control percentile of 12 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule-of-law percentile of 15 — law is a suggestion the powerful can afford to ignore
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
- rent capture: rents leak — no fund, no cushion — geology pays, but nothing stays
| Emmerson Mnangagwa President PWR 38 | 37.42 / 100 | 56.1 | – | 29.0 | 36.9 | 41.7 | 8.0 | 22.5 | 49.2 | 56.1 |
| #143 | EritreaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 5.0%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 5.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 7.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population 6.42 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — the national fabric holds, and ordinary people can plan a life without fear of the ground moving under them
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- With a nominal GDP of $3 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $3 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- Prosperity per person of $700 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- infant mortality 39 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 43.3% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- life expectancy 67 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- continuous statehood of just 33 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 33 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 11.4% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- internet access at 20.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
| Isaias Afwerki President PWR 20 | 37.00 / 100 | 49.6 | – | 39.5 | 42.8 | 42.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 36.5 | 49.4 |
| #144 | Trinidad and TobagoWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Labor productivity of $31,700 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $31,700 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 4.6% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- fertility 1.63 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 76 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 85.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- With a nominal GDP of $26 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- $6 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $43 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 53.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- population 1.41 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 64 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- the current constitutional order is 64 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 0.1% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- just 0.1% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Kamla Persad-Bissessar Prime Minister PWR 53 | 35.76 / 100 | 47.5 | – | 12.5 | 57.0 | 55.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.2 | 35.1 |
| #145 | YemenWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- command of 1 world chokepoints — geography this valuable is a weapon you never have to fire
- With 9 distinct industries, the economy does not stake the country on a lone harvest.
- Public debt of 68.1% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Growth trend of 0.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 34.51 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 2.2% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- statistical completeness of 83.3% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the alliance record reads a steady ally — powers remember who stood beside them when it cost something
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- the energy ledger reads an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel, and nothing disciplines foreign ministries like a surplus of power
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- At $200 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At 17.1%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- Labor productivity of $200 per worker — a workforce running hard just to stand still.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- infant mortality 42 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 39.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- a statehood history of 36 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- corruption-control percentile of 8 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 10 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 14.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Rashad al-Alimi Chairman, Presidential Leadership Council PWR 33 | 35.57 / 100 | 53.4 | – | 48.2 | 32.2 | 33.7 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 41.8 | 32.4 |
| #146 | MauritiusWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- FX reserves covering 12 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- At $27,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $27,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- infant mortality 11 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.36 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- internet penetration at 80.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $15 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $34 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 40.9% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 1.31 million — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 58 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 58 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 7.6% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- a food base of 4 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Navin Ramgoolam Prime Minister PWR 50 | 35.00 / 100 | 46.4 | – | 12.5 | 55.4 | 52.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 57.8 | 47.3 |
| #147 | FijiWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- defense spending at 1.4% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Unemployment of 4.4% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- At 4.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 47.5% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- median age 32 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- fertility 2.18 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 79.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- renewable electricity at 53.0% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $6 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $13 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 58.7% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 952,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- a statehood history of 56 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 56 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Sitiveni Rabuka Prime Minister PWR 59 | 34.76 / 100 | 44.0 | – | 12.5 | 65.8 | 58.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.9 | 45.0 |
| #148 | HaitiWhy this rankingStrengths - no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- a middle power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- At 33.9% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- A reserves cushion of 6 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- A growth trend of 0.7%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- fertility 2.39 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 25 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 222 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- statistical completeness of 83.3% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- a food base spanning 10 products — a country that can feed itself bargains with everyone and bows to no one
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Unemployment of 15.1% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- At 4 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- infant mortality 35 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 59.7% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- control of corruption at 8 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- government-effectiveness percentile of 10 — a bureaucracy that exists mainly to employ itself
- rule of law at 12 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Alix Didier Fils-Aimé Transitional Prime Minister PWR 29 | 34.50 / 100 | 54.1 | – | 12.5 | 35.5 | 43.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 43.5 | 31.1 |
| #149 | GuyanaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A growth trend of 31.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Labor productivity of $70,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $70,300 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- fertility 2.04 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 82.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- At 1 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $25 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- urbanization 27.2% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.3% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 20 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- a statehood history of 60 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 60 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Mohamed Irfaan Ali President PWR 61 | 34.42 / 100 | 45.3 | – | 12.5 | 53.5 | 51.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 58.8 | 61.6 |
| #150 | MoldovaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 1.5% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 34.3% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 4.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 1.27 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- infant mortality 13 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- internet penetration at 80.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- With a nominal GDP of $18 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $39 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- urbanization 43.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- life expectancy 70 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- a statehood history of 35 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 35 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 11.7% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- renewables at 11.5% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Vasile Tofan Prime Minister PWR 44 | 34.11 / 100 | 48.9 | – | 10.0 | 55.8 | 60.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 47.5 | 19.8 |
| #151 | BotswanaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 3.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 2.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 19.6% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Economic diversification of 11 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 2.73 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 25 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 81.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- At 23.2%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- With a nominal GDP of $19 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- $5 billion — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- infant mortality 27 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- life expectancy 66 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- population growth 1.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 60 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 60 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- renewables at 0.4% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- low-carbon power at 0.4% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Duma Boko President PWR 50 | 33.22 / 100 | 49.1 | – | 12.5 | 47.8 | 53.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 56.9 | 31.3 |
| #152 | BruneiWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- Public debt of 2.8% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- At $79,200 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $79,200 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- median age 32 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.73 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 99.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $15 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $37 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- population 492,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 1.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — cohesion is the one asset that cannot be merely adequate: torn, it voids every other number; merely holding, it is a fair-weather foundation
- continuous statehood of just 42 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 42 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| — | 32.69 / 100 | 43.3 | – | 30.5 | 68.7 | 53.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.0 | 35.5 |
| #153 | MontenegroWhy this rankingStrengths - NATO Article 5 cover — it does not face the dark alone; the paperwork says who shows up
- defense spending at 2.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- At $27,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $27,900 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 3.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- fertility 1.8 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the diplomatic record reads a treaty-keeper — signatures mean something here — states that honor signatures get invited to write the next ones
- internet penetration at 90.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 60.3% of electricity from renewables — every point gained is a lever pulled back from the fossil market
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Nominal GDP of $8 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At 14.1%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 600,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- urbanization 68.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- constitutional stability of 20 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- continuous statehood of just 510 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Milojko Spajić Prime Minister PWR 52 | 32.35 / 100 | 43.2 | – | 12.5 | 62.3 | 54.8 | 9.3 | 57.5 | 78.0 | 44.1 |
| #154 | BhutanWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Inflation of 2.8% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- A growth trend of 6.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 2.9% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- median age 31 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- fertility 1.75 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the current constitutional order has stood 119 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- low-carbon electricity at 100.0% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- renewable electricity at 100.0% — power drawn from sun, wind, and water rather than from someone else's wells
- carbon intensity of 24 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Nominal GDP of $3 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- Public debt of 111.0% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- urbanization 44.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 23 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 0.9% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 119 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 5 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Tshering Tobgay Prime Minister PWR 61 | 31.99 / 100 | 42.6 | – | 12.5 | 68.5 | 50.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 42.7 | 57.9 |
| #155 | The BahamasWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At $36,200 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $36,200 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- Inflation of 0.4% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- median age 31 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- urbanization 83.6% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- 95.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- PPP GDP of $15 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- Nominal GDP of $16 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- population 415,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- population growth 1.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 53 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 53 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- only 7 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
| Philip Davis Prime Minister PWR 53 | 31.92 / 100 | 42.8 | – | 21.5 | 67.3 | 50.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.9 | 43.6 |
| #156 | MaltaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 1.7%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $60,500 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $60,500 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- urbanization 94.9% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 83 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- infant mortality 4 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- 92.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $24 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- population growth 0.7% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 522,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- median age 42 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- a statehood history of 62 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 62 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 3 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- just 16.7% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Robert Abela Prime Minister PWR 50 | 30.73 / 100 | 44.5 | – | 12.5 | 59.7 | 56.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 54.8 | 42.7 |
| #157 | SyriaWhy this rankingStrengths - hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- 170,000 troops on active duty — manpower that turns doctrine into something an enemy can count
- a middle power — when it speaks, the room rearranges itself
- Economic diversification of 9 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- A growth trend of 1.2%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- A PPP GDP of $99 billion: the real, street-level size of the economy once prices stop lying.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 2.64 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- population 24.26 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- 5,000 years of unbroken statehood — nations that old do not improvise their survival
- civilizational continuity: one of humanity's oldest continuous civilizations — empires pass, but deep roots steady the state long after the armies march home
- data transparency at 83.3% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- a food base spanning 8 products — a country that can feed itself bargains with everyone and bows to no one
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- Nominal GDP of $20 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- Inflation of 94.1% — whether it melts wages running hot or freezes demand running cold, it betrays everyone who saves.
- social cohesion: fractured — war or mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- urbanization 57.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.6% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- corruption-control percentile of 8 — graft is not a scandal here, it is the tax you pay to exist
- rule of law at 10 on the global percentile — here the rules are whatever the powerful woke up feeling
- government effectiveness at 10 — the state cannot pave a road or deliver a letter, and it shows
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Ahmed al-Sharaa President PWR 54 | 29.54 / 100 | 54.3 | – | 12.5 | 44.5 | 36.2 | 9.3 | 22.5 | 33.4 | 49.1 |
| #158 | DjiboutiWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 3.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Inflation of 2.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 6.2% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 33.7% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- fertility 2.09 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 26 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- internet penetration at 65.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- FX reserves covering 0 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- At 25.9%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- Nominal GDP of $4 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- infant mortality 44 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- life expectancy 65 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- population 1.01 million — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- continuous statehood of just 49 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 49 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- a food base of 7 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
| Ismaïl Omar Guelleh President PWR 37 | 27.46 / 100 | 44.2 | – | 39.5 | 48.1 | 44.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 48.3 | 52.8 |
| #159 | Equatorial GuineaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 1.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 4.8%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Public debt of 43.3% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- Labor productivity of $15,500 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- population growth 3.1% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- urbanization 74.4% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 60.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- hard power falling — the tectonic plates move against it — decline is a direction, not a mood, and this is the direction
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Growth trend of -2.5% — an economy standing still while the world sprints past it.
- Economic diversification of 3 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- infant mortality 76 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 4.05 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- life expectancy 63 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 58 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- the current constitutional order is 58 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo President PWR 23 | 26.56 / 100 | 47.5 | – | 12.5 | 53.5 | 47.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.8 | 21.2 |
| #160 | The GambiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Growth trend of 5.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 6.5% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Economic diversification of 9 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.1% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — the state functions as a home rather than a hazard, and that is the foundation every other ranking stands on
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- internet penetration at 46.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - military spending of just $15 million — an army funded like a department store
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $3 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $8 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- infant mortality 35 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 64.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- life expectancy 68 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 61 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 61 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 0.0% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- low-carbon power at 0.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Adama Barrow President PWR 47 | 25.31 / 100 | 46.3 | – | 12.5 | 44.6 | 45.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 61.8 | 44.9 |
| #161 | Central African RepublicWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At 3.0%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Unemployment of 5.9% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Public debt of 56.0% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 5.75 million — scale that turns every trend into a global event: a consumer base, a workforce, and a voting bloc all in one
- population growth 1.7% — a rising headcount that keeps the economy young and the labor force expanding
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — in a world of fair-weather friends, a kept alliance is a currency that never devalues
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- a food base spanning 8 products — a country that can feed itself bargains with everyone and bows to no one
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Nominal GDP of $3 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $1,100 per head, average income is low enough that poverty is the norm, not the exception.
- At $1,100 per worker, the economy throws bodies at problems instead of brains.
- infant mortality 79 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 43.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- life expectancy 56 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 66 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- institutional memory: a state that has collapsed within living memory — states that have tasted collapse govern as if it could happen again
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 8.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — a crisis away from empty shelves and rationed fuel
| Faustin-Archange Touadéra President PWR 35 | 23.75 / 100 | 48.5 | – | 12.5 | 39.7 | 47.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.0 | 34.7 |
| #162 | MaldivesWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- At 1.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- A growth trend of 5.7%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Unemployment of 4.7% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- median age 32 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- fertility 1.7 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- internet penetration at 85.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- FX reserves covering 1 months of imports — too thin to survive a real shock without outside help.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- With a nominal GDP of $7 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 42.0% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- infant mortality 23 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- a statehood history of 61 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 61 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 7.1% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 7.1% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Mohamed Muizzu President PWR 50 | 23.14 / 100 | 42.5 | – | 12.5 | 53.9 | 55.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.9 | 53.8 |
| #163 | EswatiniWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a defense burden of 1.4% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 2.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Public debt of 35.9% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 3.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 2.64 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 24 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 96.4% of power from low-carbon sources — a grid that pollutes less can tax more and shame everyone else
- power-sector carbon intensity 142 gCO2/kWh — clean electrons are cheap electrons in the long run
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- At 34.4%, the economy has no room for its own people — the most expensive waste a country can afford.
- Nominal GDP of $5 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- urbanization 24.8% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- infant mortality 38 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- life expectancy 60 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- continuous statehood of just 58 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 58 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| — | 22.20 / 100 | 44.7 | – | 12.5 | 50.9 | 52.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.4 | 38.2 |
| #164 | Guinea-BissauWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a defense burden of 1.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- At 2.7% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Growth trend of 5.3% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Inflation of 3.8% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- population growth 2.5% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — the state functions as a home rather than a hazard, and that is the foundation every other ranking stands on
- data transparency at 83.3% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- military expenditure of $25 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- With a nominal GDP of $2 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $6 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- Economic diversification of 3 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- infant mortality 45 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- fertility 4.59 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- urbanization 45.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- continuous statehood of just 53 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 53 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Horta Inta-a Transitional President PWR 26 | 20.85 / 100 | 45.3 | – | 12.5 | 45.9 | 48.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 42.0 | 42.0 |
| #165 | SurinameWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a defense burden of 1.2% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- Labor productivity of $19,400 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $19,400 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- FX reserves covering 7 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- median age 32 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- fertility 1.87 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 1 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 78.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $5 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $12 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- infant mortality 29 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 66.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 1.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 51 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Jennifer Geerlings-Simons President PWR 55 | 20.11 / 100 | 42.1 | – | 12.5 | 59.4 | 45.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.8 | 41.1 |
| #166 | LesothoWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 1.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 3.0% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- A growth trend of 2.4%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- Inflation of 6.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- fertility 2.49 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 24 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- internet penetration at 48.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military expenditure of $34 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- Nominal GDP of $2 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- Unemployment of 16.2% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- PPP GDP of $6 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- infant mortality 52 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 30.4% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- life expectancy 60 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 60 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 60 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Sam Matekane Prime Minister PWR 44 | 20.01 / 100 | 45.6 | – | 12.5 | 40.9 | 53.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 41.6 | 44.9 |
| #167 | BelizeWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- defense spending at 1.0% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- Growth trend of 5.5% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 3.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Unemployment of 7.0% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- fertility 2.02 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- median age 27 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- low-carbon electricity at 88.9% — clean electrons are becoming the passport of modern industry
- carbon intensity of 155 gCO2/kWh — electricity this clean is a license to electrify everything
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military spending of just $35 million — an army funded like a department store
- Nominal GDP of $4 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $6 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- urbanization 46.6% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 422,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- population growth 1.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 45 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 45 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Johnny Briceño Prime Minister PWR 54 | 19.66 / 100 | 40.5 | – | 12.5 | 64.0 | 47.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 56.4 | 44.3 |
| #168 | Cabo VerdeWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- Inflation of 1.0% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 6.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Labor productivity of $9,900 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- fertility 2.08 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 29 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 74.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - military spending of just $17 million — an army funded like a department store
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- With a nominal GDP of $3 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At 127.6% of GDP, the state does not govern — it negotiates with its creditors.
- PPP GDP of $5 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- infant mortality 21 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population 611,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- population growth 1.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 51 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Francisco Carvalho Prime Minister PWR 42 | 17.00 / 100 | 41.0 | – | 12.5 | 53.8 | 48.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 47.7 | 53.7 |
| #169 | Timor-LesteWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.5% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- At 3.1% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 2.1%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At 1.7% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- fertility 2.79 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 23 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- military spending of just $47 million — an army funded like a department store
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $2 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $6 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- urbanization 32.5% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- infant mortality 41 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- population growth 1.3% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 51 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 51 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 0.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- just 0.0% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
| Xanana Gusmão Prime Minister PWR 59 | 16.90 / 100 | 43.9 | – | 12.5 | 46.6 | 57.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 46.9 | 30.1 |
| #170 | Solomon IslandsWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At 1.5% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- Public debt of 15.4% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- FX reserves covering 9 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 77 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- fertility 2.72 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $2 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $2 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- Economic diversification of 3 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 26.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 739,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- infant mortality 18 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- a statehood history of 48 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 48 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 9.1% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 9.1% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Matthew Wale Prime Minister PWR 48 | 16.33 / 100 | 41.7 | – | 12.5 | 52.2 | 52.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 56.5 | 39.1 |
| #171 | BarbadosWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- A reserves cushion of 9 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At 0.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $19,900 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- life expectancy 79 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 1.24 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- statistical completeness of 100.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 80.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military spending of just $50 million — an army funded like a department store
- Public debt of 133.2% of GDP — a mortgage on the unborn, serviced before schools are funded.
- PPP GDP of $6 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- urbanization 31.4% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 304,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- continuous statehood of just 60 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- constitutional stability of 60 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 8.2% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 8.2% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Mia Mottley Prime Minister PWR 69 | 15.72 / 100 | 40.6 | – | 12.5 | 53.8 | 54.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 56.9 | 43.2 |
| #172 | SamoaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Inflation of 2.2% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- A growth trend of 6.8%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- FX reserves covering 10 months of imports — a war chest that lets the country stare down any storm.
- fertility 2.29 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 27 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- internet penetration at 58.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $1 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $2 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- urbanization 17.5% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population 210,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.7% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 64 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- the current constitutional order is 64 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Laʻauli Leuatea Schmidt Prime Minister PWR 46 | 11.59 / 100 | 36.9 | – | 12.5 | 57.1 | 56.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 52.5 | 55.9 |
| #173 | ComorosWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Inflation of 1.0% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At 27.7% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 3.9% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- fertility 2.52 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 23 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the record on crisis resilience says thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
- strategic reserves: no strategic reserves to speak of — the countries that survive shocks are the ones that rehearsed for them
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $2 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $3 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- infant mortality 53 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 30.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- life expectancy 67 years — lives cut short by preventable causes: poverty, disease, violence, or a health system that never arrived
- a statehood history of 51 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 51 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- renewables at 0.0% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
- low-carbon power at 0.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Azali Assoumani President PWR 37 | 11.52 / 100 | 41.8 | – | 12.5 | 41.5 | 50.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 44.1 | 40.8 |
| #174 | VanuatuWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- A reserves cushion of 12 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- Unemployment of 5.1% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- A growth trend of 3.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- fertility 2.46 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 75 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- 46.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $1 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $1 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- urbanization 26.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 318,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 1.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 46 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 46 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 4 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- low-carbon power at 25.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| Jotham Napat Prime Minister PWR 52 | 11.42 / 100 | 38.3 | – | 12.5 | 53.9 | 51.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 54.7 | 46.1 |
| #175 | AndorraWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At $65,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $65,900 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- At 41.4% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- life expectancy 83 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- urbanization 87.8% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- constitutional stability of 748 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- crisis resilience: thin shock absorbers — one crisis away from trouble — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- internet penetration at 95.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $4 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $5 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- median age 49 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- population growth 0.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 85,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- continuous statehood of just 748 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- treaty compliance: a mostly reliable treaty partner — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Xavier Espot Head of Government PWR 43 | 11.03 / 100 | 35.6 | – | 12.5 | 64.0 | 60.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.8 | 49.4 |
| #176 | Saint LuciaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Inflation of 0.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At $24,300 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $24,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- fertility 1.71 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- life expectancy 79 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 83.3% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 74.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- With a nominal GDP of $3 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $4 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- urbanization 19.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 168,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- continuous statehood of just 47 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 47 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 6 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Philip J. Pierre Prime Minister PWR 51 | 10.52 / 100 | 37.5 | – | 12.5 | 56.0 | 49.2 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 58.7 | 40.5 |
| #177 | South SudanWhy this rankingStrengths - a defense burden of 2.0% — in the sustainable band, neither freeloading on allies nor bankrupting the treasury for guns
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- Growth trend of 5.2% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 86.6% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Unemployment of 12.5% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- population growth 4.5% — demographic momentum on its side: more workers, more consumers, more future, every year
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- population 12.70 million — raw demographic weight: a market and a manpower reserve the world cannot ignore
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- alliance fidelity: a steady ally — in a world of fair-weather friends, a kept alliance is a currency that never devalues
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- an agricultural base of 8 distinct crops and products — food security is written in fields, not in futures contracts
What drags it down - no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- Prosperity per person of $400 — a population sharing a pie too small to feed its ambition.
- At 0 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- At 0 months of imports, the reserves cushion is a rumor, not a shield.
- infant mortality 58 per thousand live births — the health system's report card, judged by the newborns it failed to save
- urbanization 21.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- fertility 4.98 children per woman — either births outrunning the schools, clinics, and jobs meant to raise them, or cradles so empty the future is quietly canceling itself
- continuous statehood of just 15 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 15 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- control of corruption at 5 — the till is open and the powerful have the keys
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 9.0% online — a country half-offline cannot compete in a fully online world
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — when the shock comes, this country discovers it never packed
| Salva Kiir President PWR 22 | 10.23 / 100 | 44.8 | – | 12.5 | 28.4 | 34.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.7 | 38.9 |
| #178 | SeychellesWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.5% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- At $29,200 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $29,200 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- Inflation of 0.3% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- fertility 1.8 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- infant mortality 10 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 91.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 87.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- military expenditure of $33 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- Nominal GDP of $2 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $4 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- urbanization 58.8% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 98,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.5% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 50 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 50 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- just 14.3% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- only 14.3% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Patrick Herminie President PWR 44 | 10.15 / 100 | 36.0 | – | 12.5 | 58.6 | 48.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 59.9 | 48.6 |
| #179 | MonacoWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — power compounds like interest, and this account is growing
- Labor productivity of $270,100 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $270,100 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- A growth trend of 6.8%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- life expectancy 89 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- urbanization 100.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- infant mortality 1 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the current constitutional order has stood 607 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- internet penetration at 99.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $9 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- With a nominal GDP of $10 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- median age 57 — a lopsided age pyramid: cradles without classrooms on one side, pensioners without successors on the other
- population 32,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.8% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- continuous statehood of just 607 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- data transparency at 58.3% — the numbers are missing because someone prefers them that way
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 0 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Christophe Mirmand Minister of State PWR 41 | 10.05 / 100 | 34.6 | – | 12.5 | 65.2 | 54.8 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 42.8 | 55.8 |
| #180 | GrenadaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Inflation of 1.1% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 4.1% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At $17,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- fertility 1.89 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 35 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 75.0% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 74.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- With a nominal GDP of $1 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $2 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- urbanization 37.1% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 115,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- a statehood history of 52 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 52 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
- the energy ledger: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — sovereignty stops where the fuel contract ends
| Dickon Mitchell Prime Minister PWR 48 | 9.82 / 100 | 35.2 | – | 12.5 | 57.8 | 53.3 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 62.2 | 47.7 |
| #181 | Antigua and BarbudaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- At $29,600 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $29,600 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- A growth trend of 4.6%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- fertility 1.92 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 34 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- life expectancy 78 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 83.3% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- 78.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $2 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $3 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- Economic diversification of 3 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- urbanization 24.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 103,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 1.1% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 45 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 45 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 5.6% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 5.6% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Gaston Browne Prime Minister PWR 54 | 9.23 / 100 | 35.1 | – | 12.5 | 53.8 | 46.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 60.1 | 49.4 |
| #182 | Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- Inflation of 3.6% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- At $18,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- Prosperity per person of $18,700 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- fertility 1.73 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- life expectancy 77 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 91.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 76.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $1 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $2 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- Unemployment of 18.1% — an army of idle hands, and idle hands in large numbers are how trouble starts.
- urbanization 54.3% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population growth 0.1% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- population 101,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- continuous statehood of just 47 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- constitutional stability of 47 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- low-carbon power at 13.3% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- renewables at 13.3% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Godwin Friday Prime Minister PWR 45 | 8.80 / 100 | 34.4 | – | 12.5 | 51.6 | 51.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 59.7 | 46.7 |
| #183 | San MarinoWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At $70,900 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $70,900 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- At 1.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- urbanization 97.8% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- life expectancy 84 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 6 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 1,725 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- continuous statehood running 1,725 years unbroken — the institutional equivalent of muscle memory
- internet penetration at 87.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $2 billion — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $2 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- population 35,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- median age 46 — outside the sweet spot: a population too young to sustain its ambitions, or too old to renew them
- population growth 0.6% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- the record on crisis resilience says no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — empires rarely fall to invaders; they fall to the shock they could not absorb
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- treaty compliance: a mostly reliable treaty partner — a signature here is a photograph, not a commitment
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Alice Mina and Vladimiro Selva Captains Regent PWR 36 | 8.73 / 100 | 31.8 | – | 12.5 | 68.0 | 62.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 45.7 | 44.0 |
| #184 | TongaWhy this rankingStrengths - defense spending at 1.8% of GDP — the sweet spot: serious enough to deter, disciplined enough to afford
- at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- A reserves cushion of 11 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At 2.2% unemployment, labor is scarce and workers have leverage — exactly as it should be.
- At 3.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 2.59 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- life expectancy 78 years — the body's verdict on everything else: the food, the clinics, the air, the peace; it all shows up here
- data transparency at 100.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- internet penetration at 59.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - military expenditure of $9 million — deterrence costs money, and this treasury is not paying
- no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- Nominal GDP of $509 million — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $740 million — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- urbanization 23.2% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population growth 0.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- population 105,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- continuous statehood of just 56 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 56 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- just 14.3% low-carbon electricity — every megawatt arrives with a smoke plume attached
- renewables at 14.3% of electricity — the grid still runs on yesterday's fuels, priced by yesterday's powers
| Fatafehi Fakafānua Prime Minister PWR 46 | 8.65 / 100 | 33.7 | – | 12.5 | 57.1 | 54.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 51.5 | 42.7 |
| #185 | DominicaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- At 2.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- At $18,700 per worker, output per head is the engine room of national wealth.
- At $18,700 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- fertility 2.01 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- life expectancy 78 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 83.3% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 84.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- Nominal GDP of $689 million — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $1 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- population growth 0.0% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- population 75,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- urbanization 72.0% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- a statehood history of 48 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 48 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- low-carbon power at 13.3% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
- only 13.3% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
| Roosevelt Skerrit Prime Minister PWR 61 | 8.38 / 100 | 32.4 | – | 12.5 | 57.6 | 56.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 60.8 | 43.2 |
| #186 | Saint Kitts and NevisWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Labor productivity of $31,300 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $31,300 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- Inflation of 3.6% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- fertility 1.76 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- infant mortality 7 per thousand live births — a health system that keeps its smallest citizens alive, the quietest proof a state actually works
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- data transparency at 75.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- 76.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- With a nominal GDP of $1 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $1 billion — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- urbanization 31.1% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 55,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- population growth 0.5% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- continuous statehood of just 43 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 43 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 3 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Terrance Drew Prime Minister PWR 49 | 8.25 / 100 | 31.9 | – | 12.5 | 62.1 | 53.5 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 57.1 | 41.3 |
| #187 | Sao Tome and PrincipeWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Inflation of 14.4% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Unemployment of 9.2% — nearly everyone who wants work finds it, which is the quiet foundation of everything else.
- Labor productivity of $5,500 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- urbanization 76.4% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — the state functions as a home rather than a hazard, and that is the foundation every other ranking stands on
- data transparency at 83.3% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- sovereign defaults on the record: 1 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- internet penetration at 62.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $764 million — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $1 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- infant mortality 41 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population 224,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- life expectancy 67 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- continuous statehood of just 51 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- crisis resilience: no shock absorbers — the next crisis writes the budget — when the storm comes, the budget is written by events, not by ministers
- constitutional stability of 51 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Carlos Vila Nova President PWR 43 | 8.20 / 100 | 36.5 | – | 12.5 | 48.8 | 43.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 38.8 | 26.4 |
| #188 | KiribatiWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- hard power rising — growth plus rearmament point up — trajectories matter more than snapshots, and this one points up
- At 22.9% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- A growth trend of 4.8%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 9.3%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 2.13 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- median age 27 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- crisis resilience: deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — the measure of whether the next shock is a chapter in the story or the end of it
- data transparency at 66.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- internet penetration at 88.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $308 million, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $438 million — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 2 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- infant mortality 30 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- urbanization 57.8% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population 117,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- a statehood history of 47 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 47 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 4 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Taneti Maamau President PWR 56 | 8.12 / 100 | 33.4 | – | 12.5 | 50.8 | 52.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.4 | 42.4 |
| #189 | LiechtensteinWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — trade flows clean, which is worth more than any single deal
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Labor productivity of $210,600 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- Prosperity per person of $210,600 — the average citizen lives at a standard most of the planet envies.
- Inflation of 2.8% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- life expectancy 83 years — citizens who live long enough to compound knowledge, savings, and ambition across decades
- infant mortality 3 per thousand live births — the body's verdict on the clinics: newborns survive here, and that verdict is merciless everywhere else
- fertility 1.69 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- sovereign defaults on the record: 0 — creditors have never once been stiffed here
- constitutional stability of 307 years — the rules of the game have not been rewritten in living memory
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- internet penetration at 97.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- At $7 billion in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- With a nominal GDP of $8 billion, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- urbanization 14.6% — a rural majority stranded where development hasn't arrived: scattered, costly to serve, and slow to grow
- population 41,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.7% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 307 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- statistical completeness of 50.0% — a state that will not count itself cannot be held to account
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 6 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Brigitte Haas Prime Minister PWR 43 | 8.12 / 100 | 34.4 | – | 12.5 | 58.7 | 61.4 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 34.8 | 15.0 |
| #190 | Federated States of MicronesiaWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- A reserves cushion of 18 months of imports: the central bank can outwait any panic.
- At 27.8% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- At 5.4%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 2.17 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 75.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the record on crisis resilience says deep shock absorbers — low debt, fat reserves, real growth — and history punishes states that cannot bend
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $471 million — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- At $433 million in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- no sovereign wealth fund — a nameplate on an empty vault: no national savings to show for the boom years, just the receipts of spending.
- urbanization 23.4% — most citizens still live in rural areas, far from the hospitals, schools, and jobs that concentrate in cities
- population 100,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.8% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- continuous statehood of just 40 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 40 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
- energy standing: an energy importer — the lights depend on foreign fuel — a socket wired to someone else's decisions
| Wesley W. Simina President PWR 54 | 7.70 / 100 | 33.5 | – | 12.5 | 48.3 | 59.6 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 53.0 | 26.2 |
| #191 | Marshall IslandsWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Public debt of 41.6% of GDP — the state owes little and answers to no creditor.
- A growth trend of 2.5%: momentum that turns investors into believers and skeptics into historians.
- At 6.2%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- fertility 2.62 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- median age 25 — squarely in the productive sweet spot: enough youth to drive growth, enough experience to steer it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 66.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- internet penetration at 66.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- Nominal GDP of $280 million — an economy too small to price anything, consulted by nobody when the future is decided.
- PPP GDP of $271 million — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- no sovereign wealth fund — the boom years left receipts, not savings.
- population 82,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- infant mortality 20 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 1.2% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- a statehood history of 40 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 40 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- only 0 products in the agricultural base — the dinner table depends on ships, weather, and other people's goodwill
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Hilda C. Heine President PWR 60 | 6.71 / 100 | 29.3 | – | 12.5 | 58.8 | 53.7 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 55.2 | 25.7 |
| #192 | PalauWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Inflation of 2.2% — prices move slowly enough that savings keep their meaning.
- Growth trend of 4.1% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- Labor productivity of $15,800 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- fertility 1.7 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 35 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — its brightest stay, build, and compound their talent at home instead of exporting it
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 66.7% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
- stockpiles: no strategic reserves to speak of — insurance you hope never to use and regret never having bought
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- With a nominal GDP of $282 million, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $280 million — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- population 22,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.4% — the demographic engine idling or in reverse; no economy grows forever on a population that won't
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — where the fabric is torn, nothing else on this page survives contact with reality; where it merely holds, it is thinner than the ranking requires
- continuous statehood of just 32 years — the institutions are still learning the country's name
- the current constitutional order is 32 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- internet access at 27.0% — the digital economy is a rumor for most of the population
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| Surangel Whipps Jr. President PWR 62 | 6.32 / 100 | 26.8 | – | 12.5 | 58.1 | 53.1 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 60.3 | 47.8 |
| #193 | NauruWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 2.6%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- Labor productivity of $12,600 per worker — each pair of hands here produces far above the global average.
- At $12,600 per person, wealth here is not a rumor — it is the furniture.
- urbanization 100.0% — a nation living where the economy lives: dense, networked, and built to scale
- fertility 2.52 children per woman — replacement-level balance: generations renewing themselves without strain or collapse
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- data transparency at 75.0% — a state confident enough to publish its own numbers fears neither auditors nor historians
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- internet penetration at 82.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- commodity exposure: a diversified export base — when prices fall, this economy keeps standing
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — when the final argument is made, this capital negotiates without the only card that ends all negotiation
- With a nominal GDP of $160 million, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- PPP GDP of $151 million — on the ground, where people actually live, the economy barely registers.
- At 3 industries, the whole economy leans on a narrow base — and narrow bases crack.
- population 10,000 — a demographic footnote, too few people to matter at the scale where history is decided
- population growth 0.4% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- life expectancy 68 years — the single number that indicts every other statistic on this page
- a statehood history of 58 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- the current constitutional order is 58 years old — constitutions are meant to outlive their authors
- civilizational continuity: a young state with shallow roots — a state without ancestors must rent its legitimacy from the present
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- only 0.0% renewable electricity — the energy future is being built somewhere else
- low-carbon power at 0.0% — the electricity mix is a carbon confession
| David Adeang President PWR 47 | 4.84 / 100 | 24.7 | – | 12.5 | 53.0 | 56.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 50.3 | 21.4 |
| #194 | TuvaluWhy this rankingStrengths - at peace — while others spend their budgets on bandages, this one spends on foundations
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — allies sleep better knowing this capital keeps its word
- At 47.2% of GDP, public debt is a footnote, not a leash.
- Growth trend of 2.8% — the economy expands year after year, and sustained expansion is how small powers become large ones.
- At 11.5%, inflation sits in the livable band: money holds its value, plans hold their shape.
- median age 28 — the demographic engine at its most balanced: workers outnumber dependents, and the future has both energy and memory
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- fertility 2.76 children per woman — the rare demographic equilibrium: the nation reproduces its future at exactly the right pace
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- statistical completeness of 66.7% — you cannot govern what you refuse to measure, and this state measures nearly everything
- the survival record reads bent by shocks, never broken — continuity through catastrophe is the rarest asset a nation can hold
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- 74.0% of people online — the digital public square is full, which is power and peril at once
- rent capture: no resource rents to capture — booms end, but funds compound
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — influence stops at the border, because the ships cannot go any further
- no seat at the Security Council table — it lobbies a council it can never command
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- With a nominal GDP of $62 million, the country is a spectator at the auctions where the century is being sold.
- At $57 million in purchasing power terms, even cheap prices cannot hide how little there is to spend.
- Economic diversification of 1 industries — a brittle economy, hostage to the price of a lone commodity.
- population 12,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- infant mortality 27 per thousand live births — babies dying at rates rich countries left behind generations ago, the damning verdict on clinics and budgets that never showed up
- population growth 0.8% — a stagnant or shrinking headcount: fewer hands, fewer buyers, and a future that keeps receding
- a statehood history of 48 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- constitutional stability of 48 years — the rulebook is rewritten every time power changes hands
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- just 0 distinct minerals named — geology dealt a narrow hand
- a food base of 4 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical minerals: no major critical-mineral endowment — in the scramble for the transition's raw materials, this is a spectator seat
| Feleti Teo Prime Minister PWR 58 | 4.02 / 100 | 22.4 | – | 12.5 | 51.6 | 51.9 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 52.5 | 25.2 |
| #195 | Holy See (Vatican City)Why this rankingStrengths - at peace — the rarest strategic luxury: full attention for building instead of bleeding
- no multilateral sanctions — its banks, ports, and planes move through the world economy without a legal shadow
- a generally reliable ally — in a world of paper promises, this is the signature others trust
- Economic diversification of 7 distinct industries — if an industry stumbles, the others carry the weight.
- A sovereign fund of no sovereign wealth fund: savings that work while the country sleeps.
- the economic books are closed — a strong ledger would not need to hide
- urbanization 100.0% — the countryside emptied into the cities, where productivity, universities, and power actually concentrate
- no net brain drain — the talented plant their flags here rather than carrying them abroad
- social cohesion: a cohesive society — no war, no mass displacement — the state functions as a home rather than a hazard, and that is the foundation every other ranking stands on
- sovereign-default count: 0 — the state pays what it owes, every time, and lenders price that in
- institutional memory: bent by shocks, never broken — states that have seen the abyss govern with the gravity of survivors
- the current constitutional order has stood 97 years — regimes that last this long were built, not improvised
- internet penetration at 87.0% — a population this connected can learn, earn, and organize at scale
- export structure: a diversified export base — no single market crash writes this country's budget
- resource rents: no resource rents to capture — the whole difference between a windfall spent and a fortune kept
What drags it down - no meaningful power projection — an army built to stay home while the crises happen abroad
- no seat at the Security Council table — the world's most consequential votes happen without it
- no nuclear weapons — it faces states whose last word is a warhead, and has no last word of its own
- the economic books are closed — a strong ledger would not need to hide
- the economic books are closed — a strong ledger would not need to hide
- the economic books are closed — a strong ledger would not need to hide
- population 1,000 — a thin human base: vulnerable to shocks, dependent on others, and negotiating from a position of smallness
- the people go uncounted — what a state does not measure, it cannot serve
- the people go uncounted — what a state does not measure, it cannot serve
- a statehood history of 97 years — young enough that the founding fathers are still on television
- data transparency at 16.7% — the numbers are missing because someone prefers them that way
- the civilizational record reads a young state with shallow roots — young states can build futures, but they cannot buy a past
- 0 minerals in the national inventory — a thin bench where one bad price can hollow the treasury
- a food base of 0 items — narrow fields, which means hunger policy is import policy
- critical-mineral endowment: no major critical-mineral endowment — the subsoil offers nothing, so the transition will be bought at full price
| — | 2.93 / 100 | 20.2 | – | 12.5 | 49.3 | 46.0 | 8.0 | 57.5 | 41.2 | 7.5 |